Here's a quite interesting perspective to observe——



The Federal Reserve's long-awaited rate cut has finally materialized, but don't celebrate too early. This year, I guess it's just one, and it would be good if they can give another one next year. Now, the market nerves are tightening because: the Bank of Japan is very likely to raise interest rates on the 18th of this month.

Remember Munger's classic analogy? The long-term low interest rate of the yen is like having a "weightlessness experiment capsule," where cheap capital keeps various assets—stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies—floating in mid-air. But once this cheap money starts to withdraw, gravity instantly returns, and those floating assets will naturally fall down.

The recent volatility of BTC, to some extent, is the market pre-pricing this "gravity return." Under the game rules of tightening liquidity, no one can remain unaffected.
BTC-0.91%
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LightningSentryvip
· 22h ago
Munger's theory is truly outstanding; no one can escape the moment the weightless chamber collapses.
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CryptoComedianvip
· 12-13 14:27
Laughing, I started crying. The weightlessness experiment capsule is about to fall, and our coins are still floating in the air.
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JustHodlItvip
· 12-13 14:17
Munger's analogy is spot on — it means that if Japan lets go, our coins will just fall to the ground.
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ConsensusDissentervip
· 12-11 14:14
Lowering interest rates just to make us feel high? We can't even predict next year yet. Now Japan is causing trouble again. This wave really is a carrot and a pit. Munger's analogy of the "weightless cabin" is brilliant. Now we're just waiting to see who can dodge this gravitational pull. Anyway, BTC definitely can't escape. When liquidity tightens, everything is pointless. It all depends on each person's fate.
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DefiPlaybookvip
· 12-11 04:53
Munger's analogy really hits the nail on the head. Based on historical data, the scale of yen arbitrage closing trades has exceeded $5 billion each time the central bank's policy shifts. The impact of liquidity withdrawal under the expectation of the Bank of Japan's rate hike this time may be even more intense. It is worth noting that the correlation coefficient between BTC's volatility and the narrowing of the yen interest rate differential has approached 0.7, indicating it practically no longer has independence.
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ProtocolRebelvip
· 12-11 04:51
Munger's metaphor is spot on; the weightless capsule is doomed, the crypto circle should have woken up long ago.
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ConsensusBotvip
· 12-11 04:45
Munger's analogy is really spot on; once the money in the weightless chamber is withdrawn, everything has to be slammed downward. It's strange that the Bank of Japan didn't raise interest rates on the 18th.
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NotFinancialAdvicevip
· 12-11 04:42
Munger's weightless cabin analogy is brilliant. Now we're just waiting to see who will fall the hardest.
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MetaverseMortgagevip
· 12-11 04:24
Munger's analogy is perfect; once the weightless module departs, it's truly gravity acceleration... When the Bank of Japan moves, global liquidity shifts like dominoes. Will BTC continue to be hammered down?
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