MoonRocketman
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#数字资产生态回暖 The Truth Behind the Central Bank's Rate Cut: Hawkish on the Surface, Liquidity Still Flowing
Recently, the Fed's actions have been quite interesting. On the surface, a 25 basis point rate cut sounds pretty impressive, but it also sends a signal: next year, the rate hike pace may slow down, so don't expect a continuous "feeding" spree. What’s the result? The market is digesting this "hawkish" stance while also discovering that the Fed is holding a big move—purchasing $40 billion worth of US Treasuries monthly starting from 2026.
What does this mean? Simply put, one hand is pressing t
BTC-2.73%
ETH-5.17%
DOGE-5.91%
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The rate cut in December has finally landed, but the market atmosphere feels a bit nuanced.
A major central bank indeed cut rates by 25 basis points this time, bringing the interest rate range to 3.50%-3.75%, which seems quite routine. But if you carefully read the new wording in the policy statement—"future adjustments will consider the magnitude and timing"—that’s basically saying, "Will we cut again? Let’s see."
Even more interesting, the internal voting resulted in three votes against. Such a public rift is quite rare. The dot plot is more straightforward: there may be only one rate cut ne
BTC-2.73%
ETH-5.17%
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TokenCreatorOPvip:
Powell's recent moves are really incredible. He says he's stopping rate cuts but then secretly expands the balance sheet again. It's outrageous.

An honest example of sticking to one's words, but in the crypto world now, we have to survive by storytelling.

Three votes against? That clearly indicates major disagreements, and future policies will only become more unpredictable.

With the disappearance of rate cut expectations, liquidity will suffer. Expanding the balance sheet in 2026 seems a bit far off, everyone.

Next year, at most, one rate cut? Then the good days for our crypto might be coming to an end.

Expanding the balance sheet by 40 billion in short-term debt, this is probably paving the way for future policy easing.

The dual actions of rate cuts and balance sheet expansion—markets really need to find a new story to hold them up.

If inflation truly rebounds, that will be troublesome. By then, the dream of rate cuts will be completely shattered.

Whether liquidity is drying up or not, this policy contradiction is really confusing.

Don’t get too hyped or panicked, but my wallet is a bit anxious right now.
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#以太坊行情技术解读 There have been some movements in recent position adjustments. The long-term Bitcoin long positions were closed for profit last night. I originally wanted to notify immediately but forgot to include it when closing the short-term positions together. On the other hand, the Ethereum long positions are still held in my hands. Looking back, Ethereum indeed has the potential to push higher — I made nearly 2000% profit during the most exciting moments before, and I am still in profit now. However, I feel a bit uncertain—thinking I might not be able to hold on if it goes further up.
Just n
BTC-2.73%
ETH-5.17%
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Whale_Whisperervip:
2000% still can't hold, I need to learn this mindset

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95000 can it really hold? Feels a bit risky this time

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Ethereum hitting 3500, just listen and laugh haha

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Opening another long position, this brother is really brave

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Holding onto open positions is the most torturous, I deeply understand

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Taking profit and still playing, really can't sit still

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3500 does have imagination, but let's see what 95000 says first

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Ran away from 2000% profit, I won't say anything more

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All virtual before clearing, this words hits too close to home
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Next one or two months, there are several key time windows to watch closely.
December's schedule is quite packed: on the 16th, the November unemployment rate and non-farm employment data will be released. Last time, the unemployment rate stayed at 4.4%, and this time, expectations are still unclear; on the 18th, the November CPI will be announced, with both previous values and market expectations still a mystery; on the 19th, the Bank of Japan will hold its monetary policy meeting. The last time, the base rate was maintained at 0.5%, and how they will adjust it this time depends on their weigh
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Anon32942vip:
Powell is quite skilled at managing expectations—saying no to a rate cut but then actually cutting. He's really treating the market like fools.
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Last night, the Federal Reserve finally acted—25 basis points cut, yes, they cut.
But look at their expressions? So hawkish it’s terrifying. The expectation of rate cuts next year has been directly cut in half. Where’s the supposed easing?
They talk tough, but in their hand, they’re holding a candy—$40 billion repurchase plan. The market was stunned—what kind of show is this?
BTC’s reaction is the most honest: from $94,000 crashing down to $89,000, all positive news exhausted, revealing true colors in a second.
Do you think it’s over?
Bro, this is just the beginning. The real thunder is still
BTC-2.73%
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CryptoHistoryClassvip:
*checks notes* ah yes, the classic "pivot to hawkish while pretending to cut rates" playbook... statistically speaking, we've seen this exact pattern before the 2018 crash. history rhymes, doesn't it
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#美联储联邦公开市场委员会决议 Why Did the Crypto Market Retrace Significantly After the Fed Cut Rates? Is This Really the Time to Be Bearish?
After the Federal Reserve announced rate cuts and launched a monthly purchase of $40 billion in short-term Treasury bonds, the market experienced a noticeable correction. Bitcoin retraced its gains within 12 hours, and many began to worry about a reversal. But a closer look at this drop reveals a different picture.
**Why the Sudden Drop? Three Key Signals**
First is the concentrated profit-taking. The rate cut had been widely anticipated, with data showing a 95% proba
BTC-2.73%
ZEC2.62%
MDT4.28%
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down_only_larryvip:
Once again, it's the over-optimistic overreach. I don't believe you at all. Powell really didn't give any fuel this time.
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This wave of ETH, either take off or go to zero. I've already gone all in, and there's no turning back.
ETH-5.17%
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GasFeeNightmarevip:
What are you shouting about? Speaking so absolutely, is there really no middle ground...
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#数字资产生态回暖 Bitcoin Evening Technical Analysis
Currently, the price is stuck around 90061, not far from the lower Bollinger Band at 88911. This lower band is not just a random level; it is a solid technical support—every time the price touches this level, the bears start to run, and the bulls are eager to buy the dip. Indicators have already entered the oversold zone, and a rebound is highly likely. From a technical perspective, this is a buying opportunity.
The idea is simple: establish long positions between 89500 and 89000, and consider taking profits when the rebound reaches around 91500$BTC
BTC-2.73%
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ParanoiaKingvip:
Is it that Bollinger Bands again? Every time you say it's oversold and it bounces back, but I bought the dip at 88,000 and am stuck holding now.
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$BTC Do you remember the crash in 2018? I lost 50 BTC back then. Now it seems the Federal Reserve is back to its old tricks—printing money, secretly expanding the balance sheet. History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes.
At this time, stablecoins have become a safe haven. USDD 2.0 is now pegged at 0.999, even more stable than some exchanges’ withdrawal speeds. It has undergone five security audits (CertiK and ChainSecurity have both reviewed it), and top exchanges also recognize it—definitely more reliable than those no-name projects.
Let’s talk about some practical stuff: The PSM mechanism
BTC-2.73%
USDD0.01%
ETH-5.17%
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GhostChainLoyalistvip:
50 BTC are gone... If we don't follow through this time, we're really screwed.
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#美联储降息 $BTC $ETH $SOL
Why is leveraged trading so "addictive"? Even though many people know they might get liquidated, some still keep rushing in.
Honestly, it all boils down to two words: pleasure. The core appeal of leveraged trading is "small money leverages big money"—throw in some margin, and you can control positions dozens of times larger. When the market rises sharply, the numbers in your account jump wildly—it's like getting a pie in the sky, who can resist?
Plus, the crypto market itself is a volatility machine. In traditional stocks, you can only wait for a rebound when prices fall,
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ETH-5.17%
SOL-3.86%
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SandwichHuntervip:
It's the same story again—sounds good, but how many can actually quit?
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#美联储降息 $ETH The market rhythm during this period indeed has some patterns to follow. During the day, it typically shows a sideways pattern, which can seem a bit dull, but once the US stock market opens or data is released, the market quickly becomes active, and volatility clearly increases.
However, don't underestimate the opportunities during the day. During the repeated fluctuations, as long as you find the right support level and make decisive moves, you can often catch some good short-term opportunities.
The 3150 level currently plays a key role. If Ethereum can hold steady here and withs
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potentially_notablevip:
I'm used to the fluctuations during the day; I was just waiting for the U.S. stock market to open and take off directly. This rhythm is amazing.
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#以太坊行情技术解读 From 3,000 to 280,000, how to navigate the futures market without crashing?
Honestly, the market in the crypto world is like a tornado—violent and quick to come, quick to leave. My ability to grow an account from $3,000 to $280,000 is not luck, but relies on a few survival principles engraved in my mind.
**Why is futures trading a double-edged sword?**
When the market moves in your favor, you are the chosen one; when it turns against you, your account can be wiped out instantly. My approach may seem extreme: dividing the principal into ten parts, risking only $30 each time to levera
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GateUser-44a00d6cvip:
That's true, but I still think most people can't follow through after reading, and there are very few who can actually implement stop-loss.
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#加密生态动态追踪 Contract trading from an initial entry of 3000U to a capital scale of 280,000U: a practical summary
First of all: this is not a show-off post. Returns in the crypto world come with equally intense risks. An account that was soaring yesterday might crash tomorrow. My ability to multiply the principal by nearly a hundred times is not due to luck but results from countless lessons learned through liquidation experiences and survival principles.
Contracts are a polarized game—either making you a winner or wiping you out instantly. My approach is indeed aggressive: dividing 300U into ten
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MetaverseLandlordvip:
To be honest, I have deep experience with stop-loss... I once held on because I didn't want to cut, resulting in a loss from five figures down to three figures. That feeling is really hard to forget.

Leverage of 100x looks exciting, but a single reversal can be a nightmare... It's better to wait until the trend is clear before acting.
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#数字资产生态回暖 $ETH has been fluctuating within this range recently, and the price has been stuck without movement. To be honest, the market is currently watching the Federal Reserve's actions — the policy inflection point hasn't appeared yet, and funds are a bit on hold.
Holding onto the expectation of a rebound, but the market has yet to give any confirmation signals, which is indeed tough. Let's wait and see; as long as the Federal Reserve releases a strong signal, Ethereum should be able to break the current deadlock. The key still depends on when the macroeconomic situation can provide some su
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DeFi_Dad_Jokesvip:
1. The Fed farting can make prices jump? Come on, seriously.
2. Waiting for signals? Nah, just look at the K-line. It’s all a gamble anyway.
3. This is crypto world, huh? Waiting for a turning point every day, I’ll just lie flat when the time comes.
4. Getting stuck isn’t that bad, my account’s been dead for ages anyway.
5. As soon as a policy drops, funds get dumped again. Why bother?
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#美联储降息 $APR Recently, the on-chain fund movements are quite interesting— the ongoing outflow pace is definitely worth paying attention to. During such times, there are often many opportunities, and the key is to find the right entry points.
I am closely monitoring the market pulse to find better entry windows. After all, there's no rush to fully deploy the position at once; gradually entering the market is often more prudent.
Currently, the focus is on these: TRUTH, LIGHT, NIGHT, CLO, MET, SOL, ETH.
The background is the brewing expectation of Fed rate cuts, which directly impacts the overall
LIGHT44.3%
NIGHT-34.34%
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LucidSleepwalkervip:
It's just outflow, so be it. I'm just waiting for that opposite moment.

Once the signal of capital accumulation appears, I'll jump in immediately. But for now, it's still a watch-and-wait stage; no rush.

SOL and ETH still need to be held onto. I need to take a closer look at other coins.
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#数字资产生态回暖 Bitcoin Night Market Analysis
$BTC is currently fluctuating around 90261, with a 24-hour decline of nearly 3%. The 4-hour timeframe shows obvious weakening. From the candlestick position, the price has broken below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, which is now around 91435, serving as a short-term key resistance level.
The moving average configuration is a typical bearish arrangement—MA5 is pressing down on MA10 and MA20, with no signs of waning. On the MACD indicator, DIF has crossed below DEA to form a death cross, and the green histogram is still expanding, indicating that
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DataOnlookervip:
Another night of bearish dominance, looks like we'll have to wait until 93,500 to find some action.
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