#美联储降息 That day, I saw a trader's LIGHT short position review——23x leverage from 1.2658 straight down to 0.8639, all very smoothly. At first glance, it seemed like a correct call on the direction, but the underlying logic is even more worth pondering.

He amplified this move with 50x leverage, but the key is not just "betting on the decline," rather first calculating clearly: how likely is the drop, how deep can it go, and whether the odds justify the risk when these two factors are combined. Once the numbers are clear, let the system execute.

This gave me an insight——the true art of trading is actually very simple, nothing more than: when the intersection of probability and space appears, do you dare to bet, and how much. Whether the prediction is right or wrong is actually secondary.

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