$BTC $XRP $ZEC n Recently, the prediction market has signaled that the probability of the U.S. government shutting down again before January 31 has risen to 29%. It has been just over a month since the last crisis ended, and this situation is likely to repeat itself. nn What is the focus of the issue? The healthcare subsidy policy. This involves the welfare of tens of millions of low-income people, and the two parties are at an impasse here—one side wants to cut spending, while the other insists on maintaining the subsidies. The vote in December did not break the deadlock, and now time is running out. nn What will happen if there is still no agreement by the end of January? The consequences are very real: insured individuals' healthcare costs could rise exponentially, and the government could shut down. Data tracked by the prediction market shows that the possibility of a subsidy extension has reached 52%. nn It seems like a purely political issue, but in reality, it will erode economic confidence. The last government shutdown caused quite a stir in the market, and this time is likely no exception. Political deadlocks often turn into economic costs, and ordinary people and market participants will have to pay the price. nn What do you think? Will this round of political wrangling really impact the crypto market? Share your thoughts in the comments.