Recently, a metric has been closely warning the market—the Dow Jones to Gold Ratio. The history of this ratio is quite interesting; over the past 130 years, it has only experienced three decisive turning points, each marking a reshuffle of the global wealth landscape.



The 1929 Great Depression, the 1966 stagflation crisis, and the 1999 dot-com bubble—these three milestones all occurred when the Dow to Gold Ratio experienced critical reversals. And now, the fourth signal has appeared—the ratio has broken through the long-term trend line of 45 years from a high of 22.5.

Historical data shows that once this ratio truly shifts, the consequences can be quite intense. The Dow could face a decline of over 90% relative to gold, while gold could see multiple times the gains. This is not just talk—during the three major turning points in the past, whether in environments of inflation, deflation, or stagflation, gold outperformed US stocks.

What does this reflect? A deeper transformation is brewing. The real underlying theme is the global debt problem, not the superficial hype around AI concepts. Smart money in the market has already begun to act quietly, gradually shifting from "paper assets" to tangible value. Silver has already started, and gold is gathering momentum. The upgrades and iterations of crypto assets like ETH also, to some extent, reflect the market’s re-recognition of "real value anchors."

The turbulence in the crypto market and macroeconomic uncertainties all point to the same question: Are you going to stick to your old asset allocation approach, or are you going to proactively position for the new trend?
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GateUser-6bc33122vip
· 10h ago
Alright, this time it's really not an alarmist warning, the data is right here --- Here we go again, I'll talk after I get out of the AI concept --- 90% drop? That's a bit exaggerated, history won't repeat exactly --- If gold really takes off, my portfolio would have already soared, but I'm still hesitating --- Turning paper assets into physical assets, easy to say but hard to do --- Smart money has already moved, we're just waiting to be harvested --- ETH has been building momentum for years, when will it really come? --- Debt issues are indeed severe, but this kind of thing often lags in the market --- Whether the Dow Gold ratio is reliable depends on future data --- Who still cares about trends now? First, survive this round of shrinkage.
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DegenGamblervip
· 10h ago
The Dow Jones and gold ratio theory has been heard too many times. Every time, they say a big event is coming, but what’s the result? It still depends on whether we can know the exact timing in advance. I believe in the move from paper assets to physical assets, but how many are really willing to go all-in on gold? Honestly, it’s just anxiety-driven marketing. Debt issues are indeed serious, but we need to be cautious when applying historical cycles. The current economic environment is different; we can't simply copy the logic of 1929. How long has gold been building momentum? If it was really coming, it should have risen already. It’s still hesitating... but long-term allocation doesn’t really matter much anyway. Can ETH iterations compare to gold? One is a digital certificate, and the other is a tangible commodity. That logic is a bit of a stretch; be cautious.
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MEVictimvip
· 10h ago
Did the Dow Jones and gold ratio break the 45-year trend line? This time it's really different, right? The debt bomb is the key.
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GasFeeBeggarvip
· 10h ago
The Dow Jones breaks through the 45-year trend line? Feels like another false alarm, but this wave of gold is indeed a bit interesting. Why is it always our generation getting caught in the crossfire... The guys in 1929 at least didn't have as many retail investors. A 90% decline might be premature to say; history doesn't repeat exactly. Everyone is calling gold the king, but who is buying at high levels? Debt is the real killer; what can Bitcoin solve? This logic is a bit far-fetched—if gold rises, does that mean gold wins? It's that simple. Here we go again, cutting the leeks; I don't believe you.
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SleepTradervip
· 10h ago
Wow, the 45-year trend line has been broken? This time really is different. How many times can gold multiply in this wave? Do I still dare to go all in now? Paper assets indeed should be cleared; smart people have already been accumulating real assets. A 90% drop sounds a bit scary, but history always cycles like this. The debt bomb is the real issue; the AI story can no longer be spun. Are you still holding ETH now? It feels like it's time to adjust your position early.
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