My coin selection logic is actually very simple—don't guess messages, and don't follow emotions. Instead of predicting the future, find the time window when "the main force has already started布局, retail investors are still sleeping."

You can spot clues by looking at the涨幅. The 3%-7%涨幅 range is the most worth关注. If the涨幅 is too small, it indicates no one is paying attention yet; if it exceeds 15%, it’s容易成为情绪顶部. The middle position usually代表增量资金刚刚入场, and the market热度还没被引爆—this is the most稳妥的介入点.

But just looking at price isn't enough. The more关键的 aspect is how the资金 is flowing in. I习惯同时观察量比 and换手率: keep the量比 below 2, and the换手率 between 5%-8%. This indicates that the上涨的推动力 is由有序的资金在低调建仓, rather than retail investors狂欢 or主力在砸盘出货. This kind of走势通常更持久.

流动性 is also an easily overlooked筛选器. I prefer targets with成交额 above 1亿美元, and流通市值 between 3 billion and 10 billion USD. Below this range, it’s容易被大户控盘, and波动凶悍得吓人; above this range, lacks爆发力. This区间既有想象空间, but also不会太离谱.

总结一下: only when价格刚启动,资金在悄悄入场, and流动性足够充分 these three条件同时出现时, I will认真看. This框架能帮你过滤掉市场上90%的噪音和陷阱.

Honestly, this方法不能保证每次盈利, but it能显著提高你的成功率. In this market,少出错 often比抓住一次暴涨更值钱.