2026-01-13 10:27:36

The US December CPI data will be released tonight, and this thing directly determines the mood of the crypto market tonight. The key is not in the data itself, but whether it deviates from expectations.

Let's clarify the logic first: CPI is the core reference for the Federal Reserve's policy decisions. If the actual data is below expectations, it means inflation pressure is easing, and expectations for rate cuts will rise. Market liquidity may become more relaxed, and risk assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum are likely to rise accordingly. Conversely, if the data exceeds expectations, the pace of rate cuts will be delayed, and crypto assets may pull back. Currently, institutions generally expect around 2.7%, and tonight's suspense lies in whether this expectation will be shattered.

But we need to see clearly one thing: this is only a short-term emotional shock and cannot change the long-term logic. No matter what the data shows, the Fed's major direction of rate cuts this year is already set; only the pace may change. So don’t be scared by volatility and sell off; holding core assets is the right move. Short-term fluctuations are actually opportunities to get in.

For traders, the advice tonight is "light positions and watch the market, no leverage"—after the data release, the market will swing sharply, and leveraged traders are especially prone to liquidation. If the data is positive, don’t rush to chase highs; wait for a pullback before entering. If it’s negative, don’t panic to sell; instead, take the opportunity to pick up chips. Basically, this is just a short-term market catalyst, not a game-changer. Short-term traders can look for opportunities based on the data, but never lose sight of your core assets for long-term holdings.

BTC1,55%

ETH1,71%

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DataOnlooker

· 2h ago

Haha, it's another CPI gamble, feels like we're playing the same script every time. Just hold core assets and you're good, don't get washed out by tonight's volatility. Remember last time CPI was above expectations, those leverage traders really got wiped out, it was tragic. Below expectations is the sweetest, when liquidity loosens, BTC takes off. Short-term emotional shocks don't matter, the long-term direction is what truly counts. Avoid leverage, it's easy to get pulled to the top. Some people really can't wait for that pullback.

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TerraNeverForget

· 6h ago

It's all just a bluff; the real rise and fall still depend on the Federal Reserve's stance. --- Holding a small position is correct; leverage will kill you the most at night. --- It's CPI and rate cuts again. In the end, it's all about betting on liquidity. I think I'll just stay flat and hold my coins. --- Below expectations is heaven; above expectations is hell. In this game, whoever bets right is the daddy. --- Stop joking. Short-term emotional shocks are nothing. The key is how many institutions are secretly waiting to dump. --- When the data is released, the market can drop from heaven to hell. Should I reduce my position now? I'm so confused. --- Holding core assets stubbornly, looking for opportunities in short-term fluctuations. This kind of talk always makes me cut my losses, I don't know why. --- 2.7 or whatever, honestly I don't care. I only care if my coins will drop 20% within half an hour.

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SingleForYears

· 6h ago

It's the same old story, rises when below expectations, falls when above expectations. Playing around, it's still the same routine. Wait, can 2.7% really break through? Feels like this number has already been digested. No leverage tonight, I’ve learned my lesson. That’s how I blew up last time. Actually, long-term holding is the way to go. Short-term fluctuations are really just noise. It's most comfortable to watch with a light position. Let leverage players get liquidated, haha. The expectation of interest rate cuts is easy to talk about, but can we really wait for it? It still depends on the Fed’s stance. No chasing highs or cutting losses, it’s that simple. Why do some people still get caught? CPI is coming again, same routine every time. I’m numb to it. Alright, tonight I’ll just watch a movie. Anyway, I’m not making any moves.

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potentially_notable

· 6h ago

Here it comes again. Every time CPI data is released, the market gets stirred up. I'm exhausted. Honestly, instead of obsessing over the data, it's better to understand whether you're short-term or long-term. Don't just mess around blindly. If it’s below expectations, celebrate; if it’s above expectations, cry out for your mom? The market is so easy to fool. I think this time it won't be too outrageous, fluctuating around 2.7%, which actually makes people uncomfortable. Leverage traders will probably have to pay their tuition tonight. It's always the same routine. Rather than watching CPI, it's better to focus on the Federal Reserve's real intentions next. That’s the real core. Short-term emotions are just emotions; for long-term holdings, just hold on. Don’t scare yourself. These catalysts happen every month; get used to it. The biggest fear is when data deviates significantly from expectations—that’s when things really go haywire.

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BearMarketMonk

· 6h ago

Here we go again, another show where CPI decides everything. To be honest, I'm so used to the tension every time that I've become numb; in the end, it still follows the Federal Reserve's mood. Watch with a light position, and the advice to avoid leverage is really spot on. Last time, someone didn't listen and ended up getting completely wiped out, and they're still owing me dinner money. When the data is low, it rises; when it's high, it falls. This logic has been the same for so many years. But on the other hand, rather than betting on this one night, it's better to think about whether your position allocation has issues. Don't be fooled by short-term emotions—that's the most important thing.

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MondayYoloFridayCry

· 6h ago

Keep a small position, avoid leverage, and those who get liquidated are always the greedy ones. --- If CPI is below expectations, get ready to buy the dip; if it's above expectations, don't panic—anyway, the Federal Reserve will definitely cut interest rates this year. --- Where's the promised small position? I'm already fully invested haha. --- Every time I say don't chase the high, I still fall for FOMO. It's a classic case of saying one thing and doing another. --- Instead of stressing over tonight's data, think about how to hold onto core assets without selling at a loss. --- That 2.7% figure has been hyped up all day, but in the end, it still depends on the Fed's stance. --- I understand the short-term catalysts, but the problem is I haven't made any money from short-term trades yet. --- Here we go again. Every time before CPI, I hear the same lines. Maybe we should try a different approach. --- Leverage traders, take note: those who get liquidated deserve it. Picking the wrong side and stubbornly holding on is reckless. --- It's right to pick up chips during a pullback, but I'm just worried that if it drops further, you won't have money to buy haha.

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