Rice-eatingChainFriends

#比特币价格走势 When I saw this message, what flashed through my mind was the 2017 wave. Back then, there were voices saying Bitcoin would break through $100,000, with all kinds of on-chain data and technical analysis flooding in. And what happened? The winter of 2018 left many people with nothing.
This time is different; the big money is putting real gold and silver on the line — whales accurately shorted on the night before the 10.15 plunge, earning nearly $100 million from $500 million in shorts. What does this indicate? It shows that someone has access to deeper market information than retail in

#稳定币市场发展 Seeing JPM Coin being migrated to Base by JPMorgan, my mind flashes back to those years.
I still remember around 2015, what was the attitude of traditional finance towards blockchain—either dismissive or secretly researching without willing to disclose. Now, major global systemic banks are actively deploying their tokenized products on public blockchains, and this shift itself says everything.
The development trajectory of the stablecoin market is actually quite interesting. When USDT was dominant in the early years, no one imagined this day would come. Later, USDC, DAI, and various

#美联储流动性政策 Seeing Luke Gromen's remarks, I feel a sense of familiarity. This brother has gone from $30,000 at the end of 2022 to now, suddenly turning short-term bearish. The logic behind this shift is worth pondering.
I still remember the wave in 2017, when the narrative was also "ample liquidity, printing money entering a new cycle." But what about reality? Ultimately, it depends on the Federal Reserve's true policy intentions. He's right—unless it's nuclear-level money printing, it's tightening. The policy swings over the past two years have fully validated this point.
The most interesting

#加密货币监管政策 When I observed the Libra controversy in 2019, I was thinking—panic in the financial system often stems from excessive imagination of new things. At that time, the entire market was filled with an apocalyptic atmosphere, as if stablecoins would drain the banking system overnight. But over the years, reality has given us a calm answer.
A few days ago, I read research data from Cornell University, which truly validated my observations over these years. Although stablecoins have experienced explosive growth, there has been almost no loss of bank deposits. Why? Because people underestim

#美联储降息政策 Seeing this CPI report, my mind flashed back to the 2015 cycle. Back then, the signals were similar—inflation pressures easing, policymakers beginning to loosen the stance. I remember how many people argued "this time is different," but in the end, cycles are cycles.
Hassett now says the Federal Reserve has ample room to cut rates. I don’t doubt his data; I just recalled certain moments in history. Looking at the three-month moving average, inflation is indeed on the right track—this indicator can filter out noise. But what’s truly interesting is—whenever policy shifts, market reacti

#空投活动 Another Alpha airdrop is here. The threshold is 226 points, with a reward of 25 RTX tokens, first come, first served. Every 5 minutes, the threshold automatically decreases by 5 points—this logic looks very familiar.
I saw a similar design over a decade ago, but back then there was no points system, just a different name: "Invitation Code." The essence of the incentive mechanism hasn't changed: creating scarcity to generate anxiety, and pushing participation through time pressure. I'm not saying this is bad; platforms need a cold start, and users need a reason to get involved.
The issue

#稳定币竞争与发展 The Libra controversy in 2019, I still remember how panicked the entire industry was at that time. The reaction from the banking system was almost a survival crisis—thinking stablecoins would drain their deposits. The logic back then seemed perfectly reasonable: since I can hold a digital dollar backed by government bonds on my phone, why keep money in a zero-interest, weekend-closed savings account?
But over the years, the facts have slapped us with data. Studies show that although stablecoins have exploded in market cap, there hasn't been a large-scale loss of bank deposits. I lat

#AI与加密货币结合 Seeing Bitcoin hold at $84,000, the first thought that flashed through my mind was—I've seen this position too many times before.
During the 2017 wave, I remember clearly how the support levels were repeatedly tested, each time like performing a familiar play. Back then, no one cared about central bank rate hikes; the market was purely driven by greed. Now, things are different. The fact that the Bank of Japan's rate hike didn't suppress Bitcoin suggests some logic worth pondering—real interest rates are still low, and liquidity is still searching for an exit.
What truly made me al

#稳定币市场竞争 Seeing the Federal Reserve's recent policy adjustment, a familiar feeling arose in my mind. When the "Strong Opposition to Presumption" was released in 2023, I thought to myself, no matter how tightly this door is closed, it cannot stop the march of history. Today's retraction is less of a sudden shift and more of regulators finally acknowledging reality—the understanding of crypto within the financial system is evolving, and the banking sector's demand is genuine.
I still remember the prosperity of 2017 and the subsequent winter, when the concept of stablecoins was just beginning to

#价格分析预测 Seeing Galaxy Research's forecast for 2026, I felt a familiar sense. Having been in this market for over twenty years, I’ve heard similar sentiments too many times—every cycle, someone says that fluctuations are unpredictable. Each time, I witness how the market charts a clear trajectory amid uncertainty.
The figure of $250,000 by the end of 2027 is actually traceable within the historical context. Bitcoin went from a few cents to thousands of dollars, from ten thousand to sixty thousand, each major leap accompanied by seemingly chaotic volatility. The "unpredictability" in 2026 essen

#比特币价格预测 Seeing Hayes' remarks, my first reaction isn't excitement but familiarity. I've seen this logic after the 2008 financial crisis and during the 2020 pandemic outbreak—whenever central banks loosen monetary policy, the market begins to weave the same story: liquidity flood → fiat currency depreciation → asset scarcity → crypto as a safe haven.
RMP indeed closely resembles QE in form, and Hayes' analytical framework is impeccable. The figure of $124,000 even has historical reference value. But there's a detail worth pondering—while he is loudly bullish, he quietly transferred $1.5 milli

#RWA代币化 Ten years ago, looking at Aave was like a dedicated believer waving a torch in the wilderness of DeFi. At that time, the entire space was less than $1 billion; who would have thought that today, this protocol's scale is more than 50 times larger than back then? Over the years, I have seen too many projects bloom and fade away; those teams that once shouted the loudest have long disappeared, and only a few have made it to where they are now.
Looking at Stani's latest 2026 plan, the first thought that came to my mind was: this is true respect for history. The V4 Hub&Spoke architecture,

#日本央行加息政策 Seeing today's scene, all I could think of was the memories from 2013. That year, Japan also began adjusting its monetary policy, with Haruhiko Kuroda implementing quantitative easing, leading to yen depreciation, rampant arbitrage trading, and what was the result? Bitcoin skyrocketed from a few hundred to over a thousand dollars, then a policy shift occurred, and the entire market was bloodied.
History never repeats exactly, but it often rhymes. This time, the Bank of Japan raised rates from 0.5% to 0.75%, and Ueda Shunsuke's tone was still very "hawkish"—"If the economy develops a

#RWA资产代币化 Seeing the latest quarterly report from the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission, my mind flashed back to the scene in 2017. Back then, everyone was shouting about the blockchain revolution, but what was the result? A complete mess. Today, with the tokenized product asset scale surging by 557%, I’m not excited; instead, I find myself falling into a familiar contemplation.
This kind of growth rate alone warrants caution. I have experienced too many narratives of "exponential growth"—each accompanied by frantic investors and regulatory after-the-fact remedies. But this time fee

#稳定币发行与类型 Seeing Ripple and AMINA Bank's collaboration, my mind immediately flashed back to several key moments in the stablecoin track over the past decade.
I remember back in 2015, people's understanding of stablecoins was still in the theoretical stage, and although USDT existed, it was quite controversial. By the 2017 bull market, stablecoins truly proved their value—every time the market experienced sharp fluctuations, the demand for stablecoins on exchanges surged. The problem at that time was straightforward: cross-border settlement was too slow, too costly, and involved too many inter

#美联储政策与降息 Seeing this analysis from QCP Capital, my mind immediately flashed back to the 2017-2018 cycle. Back then, everyone was chasing hot trends wildly; after ICO projects raised funds for half a year without any output, investors started to panic. The story of AI infrastructure now feels familiar—capital frenzy, but revenues are still coming in slowly.
The Federal Reserve's stance is quite interesting. The dovish rate cut signals, combined with 2-3 market expectations, should have been a boon for crypto and tech stocks, but this time they have become a double-edged sword. The stock marke

#预测市场 After reading this 2026 crypto industry outlook report, what keeps echoing in my mind is an old observation—the industry is undergoing a fundamental shift from "story-driven" to "fundamentals-driven."
Remember that wave in 2021? Prices soared, and everyone was talking about revolution, disruption, and changing the world. Now? After Bitcoin hit $120,000, it started to pull back. There was no dramatic regulatory crackdown, and the liquidity crisis wasn’t as severe as imagined, yet the market has simply cooled down. This is not an accident; it precisely indicates that participants are chan

#稳定币市场发展 Seeing the 33% year-over-year growth of Hong Kong's Q3 virtual asset spot ETF, I am reminded of the several turning points we've experienced over the past decade.
Remember the 2017 market boom? Everyone was trading coins, but truly regulated investment channels were few and far between. At that time, stablecoins were just emerging, and people were still debating what they actually were. Fast forward to 2022, with Luna's collapse and FTX's explosion, the market once again faced a trust crisis. Many people completely exited, but from that lesson, I saw a logic: markets lacking regulati

#央行降息行动 Seeing the Bank of Japan's move this time, I suddenly recalled the QE wave of 2013. Back then, central banks worldwide were easing monetary policy, and Japan was even more aggressive. The result? Yen depreciation, asset bubbles, imported inflation... It seems like the same script is playing out again, only this time it's a tightening cycle.
The weak yen has become a "shield" for interest rate hikes, which is an interesting logic. On the surface, it appears that inflation pressures are forcing the central bank to act, but in reality, the depreciation of the exchange rate has become an

#预测市场 Seeing Coinbase CEO's remarks, what flashed through my mind were the DAO incident of 2016 and a series of subsequent predictions. Back then, we were still debating what blockchain could do; who would have thought that ten years later, prediction markets would become a more effective signal mechanism than traditional polls.
Polymarket's retention data is very interesting—an 85% retention rate crushing DeFi platforms, and that's no luck. I've seen too many projects die from the "user acquisition trap," where subsidies are poured in for three months only to become dead projects. But predic