PurpleAirIsComingHi

U.S. stocks closed on Monday, with the Dow initially up 1.23%, reaching a new high. The S&P 500 index rose 0.64%, and the Nasdaq increased 0.69%, with most large tech stocks gaining. According to CME "Federal Reserve Watch": the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 18.3%, and the probability of holding rates steady is 81.7%. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by March is 43.2%, with a 49.6% chance of no change, and a 7.2% chance of a total 50 basis point cut. Since the beginning of 2026, the cryptocurrency market has sh

$TRUMP As the Maduro couple was raided, Old Trump’s reputation should have peaked!
So it’s reasonable for TRUMP to take the opportunity to plunder the market wave!
Currently, the trend has established support at around 4.85, with 5.95 being a key level. Once this level is broken and stabilized, the subsequent target levels are 7.05/8.85/10.65.
There are two possible trends:
① A normal double bottom followed by a rebound and testing successively
② A direct surge without giving an opportunity to get on board
In both cases, as long as the support at 4.85 is not broken, there is a demand for a reb

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U.S. stocks closed out 2025 with the Dow down 0.63%, marking the eighth consecutive month of gains, with an annual increase of 12.97%; the S&P 500 index fell 0.74%, up 16.39% for the year; the Nasdaq declined 0.76%, up 20.36% for the year, with the three major indices reaching new highs for three consecutive years. Technology stocks all closed lower, with Oracle(ORCL.N) down 1.1%, Tesla(TSLA.O) down nearly 1.04%, and Nvidia(NVDA.O) down 0.55%. According to CME “FedWatch”: the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in Janu

This year's final data: initial jobless claims for the week. Christmas has ended, the New Year begins. October, November, and December mostly saw high openings and lows, with limited impact!
Currently, the US dollar index is at a critical point of reaching new highs again. From February to April 2025, it will fall for two months, erasing the entire 2024 gains. If it hits a new all-time high now, will 2026 see a sharp rally testing bullish momentum and bearish pressure? Or will it directly plunge to test the support levels in the second half of 2025? All remains to be seen with time!
BTC's 2025

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On Tuesday, US stocks rose slightly, with the Dow Jones up by 0.16% and the Nasdaq up by 0.57%. The S&P 500 index increased by 0.46%, with gold, silver, copper, and platinum all reaching historical highs! The US economy grew at its fastest pace in two years in the third quarter; Trump again urged strong statements regarding the Federal Reserve Chairman; the US Treasury Secretary suggested that the Federal Reserve revisit its inflation targets. Despite data showing robust growth in the world's largest economy, it has not changed the market's bets on a

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Evening market view on 12.12 (recommendation 3%, 100x leverage, total position not exceeding 5%):
ETH Short: Short near 3136 with a spike, stop loss at 3176, take profit at 3096-2967
ETH Long: Long near 2967 with a spike, stop loss at 2927, take profit at 3043-3096-3136
Remarks:
1. US stocks have been breaking down throughout the evening; when trading, make sure to set stop losses, avoid frequent position adjustments, and do not over-leverage. The derivatives market does not sympathize with anyone.
2. Saturday is a rest day. In the morning, I will provide analysis based on market conditi

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The three major US stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow up 1.34%, the Nasdaq down 0.25%, and the S&P 500 up 0.21%. Most large tech stocks declined, and the cryptocurrency sector also fell. According to CME "Fed Watch": the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 24.4%, with a 75.6% chance of holding rates steady. The probability of a total 25 basis point cut by March next year is 40.4%, with a 52% chance of no change, and a 7.6% chance of a 50 basis point cut. The crypto market ended yesterday’s

Analysis of BTC/ETH/SOL/DOGE Market Trends on 2025.12.11 Morning
Last night, SOL precisely hit the 139/142.5 take-profit level. Currently, the market is pulling back to force longs, and our orders are no longer relevant. We have been consistently holding onto dog coin positions for three consecutive days this week; our disciplined trading has already yielded significant profits! Trading is a long-term endeavor. Sudden surges and drops can be exciting, but that’s not life. Life is about patching and mending over three years, and how long can the thrill of rapid rises and falls last?
BTC
Support

$ETH is exhibiting strong bullish momentum supported by key on-chain and technical signals, with the Fusaka upgrade serving as a major catalyst sparking a new wave of speculative interest.
Whale activity and staking dynamics continue to shape the market structure, while historical precedents (such as the 50% surge driven by the Pectra upgrade) further reinforce expectations for another explosive rally.
Macro-level bullish factors—including ETF approvals, institutional capital inflows, and the fear and greed index rebounding from a bottom—have also boosted market sentiment, creating an overall

Yesterday morning, the early session subscription update clearly stated to continue holding long positions. For those without long positions, go long on Ethereum below 2800, with a stop loss set at 2700. Entering the market yesterday earned at least over 200 points.
I specifically emphasized signs of a short-term bottom, advising to open and hold long positions.
Don’t hesitate when opening positions, and don’t be afraid of stop losses. Taking a stop loss once or twice isn’t scary—making big profits is what really matters.
Yesterday’s update also recommended buying spot; the previously recommen

Morning view on December 1st (suggest 3%, 100x, total Position not exceeding 5%):
ETH short position: Short near 2876 with a stop loss at 2916, take profit without trailing.
ETH Long Position: Enter long around 2746, stop loss at 2706, take profit at 2780-2845-2876
Note:
1. The current market is primarily characterized by a volatile range, with both bullish and bearish possibilities. The market has not stabilized, so avoid heavy positions when trading.
2. For short position take-profit points, after the market is set, I will update it promptly on the homepage square, so everyone can check it i

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When the calendar for November 2025 turns to its last page, participants in the cryptocurrency market finally get a breather, but looking back at the trends of this month, all that remains is a scene of devastation. As the most brutal trading month of the year, the crypto market in November not only fully bore the aftermath of October's epic crash but also pushed the downward trend to the extreme under multiple news impacts. The brief weak rebound was like fireflies in the dark, quickly swallowed by the ongoing wave of selling. The re-emergence of domesti

U.S. stocks closed 3 hours early due to the Thanksgiving holiday, with the three major indices rising collectively for the fifth consecutive trading day. The Nasdaq rose by 0.65%, the Dow Jones by 0.61%, and the S&P 500 by 0.54%. The Nasdaq has accumulated a rise of 4.91% this week, the Dow Jones by 3.18%, and the S&P 500 by 3.73%. Most tech stocks rose, according to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Fed reducing interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 86.4%, and the probability of maintaining the interest rate is 13.6%. The probability of the Fed cumulatively reducing inte

The three major indices of the US stock market closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 1.43%, the S&P 500 increasing by 0.91%, and the Nasdaq Composite gaining 0.67%. Large technology stocks showed divergent trends. According to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 84.9%, while the probability of keeping the interest rate unchanged is 15.1%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by January next year is 66.4%, with a probability of 11.1% for keep

All three major U.S. stock indexes closed higher, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising by 0.44%, the S&P 500 Index up by 1.55%, and the Nasdaq Composite Index increasing by 2.69%. Large technology stocks collectively rose, according to CME's "Fed Watch": the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 82.9% (up from 69.4% yesterday), while the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 17.1%. The probability of the Fed cutting rates by a cumulative 25 basis points by January next year is 65.4%, with a 12.5% probability of keeping rates unchanged,

With only 6 days left until November 2025, the dramatic volatility of the cryptocurrency market is intensifying, and at the core of it all is the shocking reversal in expectations for a Fed rate cut. Over the previous two days, the market’s enthusiasm for a Fed rate cut in December cooled sharply, with the probability dropping to less than 30%, and Bitcoin plummeted to the 80,000 level amid a wave of panic selling by retail investors. However, on November 21, dovish signals from the Fed’s third-in-command completely reversed the situation, with the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in D