The Fed interest rate cut has arrived, and it will add treasury bonds to keep short-term liquidity high in the market. The slowdown in the labor market continues, which is said to be the most important factor in continuing interest rate cuts and transitioning to monetary easing. There is no change in the game plan. Instead of a full official QE, or monetary easing, they are making a soft transition with liquidity support. A negative period begins for the dollar, while all other assets are positive. The dollar printers are continuing to operate slowly but surely, and will accelerate even more i

We're now in the final stretch of 2025, and the Fed meeting pricing has begun.
Sometimes I feel like the last crypto investor waiting for the bull, but that's always how I've made money, and I believe I'll make money the same way again.

There was a 7.6 earthquake in Japan. The epicenter isn’t very close to me, but it still shook pretty well. A tsunami warning was issued in the north. As you know, I’ve been living in Tokyo for quite some time, and you really do get used to earthquakes. After a while, if the shaking lasts less than a minute, you don’t even feel the need to react. Anyway, let’s hope nothing worse happens.

As the end of the year approaches, there isn't even a stir in the crypto markets. No one is in the mindset to buy, not even those who find altcoin prices cheap—which is usually a positive sign... Right now, the only way to convince people to buy altcoins again is if many well-known altcoins make 2x or 3x moves in a week. Otherwise, at least the old investors won't even consider it. You know my opinion, what do you think—will we see such a week soon?

As the end of the year approaches, there’s barely any movement in the crypto markets. Even those who find altcoin prices cheap aren’t in the mindset to buy, which is usually a positive sign... Right now, the only way to convince people to buy altcoins again is for many well-known altcoins to make 2x or 3x moves in a week; otherwise, at least previous investors won’t even consider it. You know my opinion—what do you think, will we see such a week soon?

First, JP Morgan, which was previously targeting Strategy and spreading FUD, announced the launch of a Bitcoin product. Now, Vanguard, known for its anti-crypto statements, has announced it will offer Bitcoin and other crypto ETFs to its clients. Blackrock, which started the Bitcoin ETF rally, manages roughly $12 trillion, while its biggest rival now entering the space, Vanguard, manages $10 trillion...
What this means is that while early individual investors—those “good profit-making” Bitcoin holders—are selling, big money still has its eyes on this space. The capital transfer in crypto is qu

What we have been experiencing for a few months is called an altcoin reset. If there is an altcoin bull, which will definitely bring a mega über züber etc. market, unfortunately, neither the winning investors nor the winning projects will be the same as they were a year ago...

I haven't been very active lately due to sweet rushes, my transformation will be amazing.
Rest well before this year's 🎅🏁.

Since 2022, after each oversold capital rotation, #Bitcoin has increased by at least roughly 2x in the following months, sometimes even more. If it turns around again from here and goes towards the 140-180 range by mid-2026, the pattern remains intact.
Similarly, if it turns around twice in a row after an RSI reversal without a significant rise, we stay in a prolonged, troublesome bear season. Just some statistics...
The latest broadcast will be on the Youtube Crypto Teknik channel soon.

In this market, it honestly doesn't seem very consistent for Monad to launch at a 2.5 Billion FDV and for $Mon to enter with a market cap of 130. Unless it's really going to create a Solana-like story—which I don't see the same fundamental narrative for—it's just going to be another overhyped coin that will make shorters happy.
I sold my $231 airdrop and moved on; nothing here for me.

We are perhaps living through the most unusual period in crypto history where price and fundamental analysis have diverged this much. While the whole world is calculating where the money to be printed in 2026 will flow, cryptocurrencies are behaving as if a world war will break out in 2026. When this tumultuous period ends, everything will return to its essence, and price will have to align with fundamental analysis.

RSI in Bitcoin has dropped to 24, and whenever it falls to such an extreme selling position, it usually rises by 50% within a few months after coming out of it. The issue is where this selling wave will end. For those waiting to trade, the safest move is to enter when the RSI breaks and closes above 30 again. My guess is that the tip of the needle will be the 100-week average passing through 83, but we will see...
Since the majority of altcoins have not dropped as much as Bitcoin, dominance is still resisting, slightly going down. The altcoin investor who has lost hope is stubbornly not sellin

As every Thursday, the live broadcast started with red candles, here it is:

The market is already tense, and now they're sharing ridiculous news saying that Vitalik mentioned quantum computers will break Ethereum in 2028, etc.
1- Vitalik didn't say such a thing, there is a bridge ready for those who believe this,
2- Up to this time, there are research studies on post-quantum signature models that can be used if necessary, which can strengthen cryptography with various techniques. Vitalik stated that from now on, the technical updates of Eth will focus on quickly experimenting with quantum-resistant solutions and integrating the suitable ones. The guy is trying

If I tweet, it has no effect, if I stay silent, my heart is not content...

The short-term charts of altcoins have entered a very clean bullish setup; although it hasn't reflected much in the price for the last two days, the volumes in certain coins that are currently part of some ETFs have increased significantly. It's clear that we have entered a suitable buying zone for some people.
Unfortunately, some of the coins I have performed extra poorly compared to what they should have, and when the time comes, I quickly said goodbye to hodl and moved to the short-term sell list. They still have a long way to go to reach the selling level; when I find the opportuni