Amelia1231

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$ETH The two biggest mistakes made in this bull market
1. Switching the POW mechanism to POS, resulting in no miners to support the market.
2. Using L2 for scaling, creating a bunch of baggage that continuously diverts funds belonging to ETH.
If ETH had not shifted from POW to POS back then, but instead kept its proof-of-work consensus, and combined with this round of the AI hardware cycle, the outcome could have been completely different. GPU miners and ETH holders might have been the biggest winners in this cycle, and the POW track wouldn't have been directly decimated.
First, hardware + PO
ETH5,18%
BTC3,68%
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FatYa888vip:
Hold on tight, we're about to take off 🛫
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Federal Reserve Policy Turning Point: Key Signals from Powell's Jackson Hole Speech and Market Implications
At the recent Jackson Hole Annual Meeting, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered what the market considers the most important speech of the year. The core message conveyed a clear signal: the Fed's policy focus has shifted significantly from solely fighting inflation to prioritizing stable employment, making a rate cut in September highly probable.
Powell emphasized that "risk balance is changing." Currently, although the core PCE inflation rate remains at 2.9%, above the 2% targ
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Discoveryvip:
2026 GOGOGO 👊
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Bitcoin drops below $65,000 with over 70% probability—what is the market worried about?
The weekend sell-off caused Bitcoin's price to briefly dip below the psychological threshold of $75,000, and market sentiment seems to have changed overnight. On the prediction platform Polymarket, a compelling betting war is heating up: the odds of Bitcoin falling below $65,000 by 2026 have surged to 72%, attracting nearly one million dollars in bets. This is not just a numbers game; it’s a mirror reflecting the deep currents within the crypto market— from the euphoria after Trump’s election victory to the
BTC3,68%
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YaoQianshuAvip:
No one can say for sure what the final trend will be; predictions are always just predictions. Ultimately, the future remains uncertain, and no one can accurately forecast what will happen next.
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Predicting the bottom range of this bear market for $ETH
This cycle, ETH's performance compared to BTC has indeed been weaker, with almost no independent trend. Currently, the price has entered a relatively bottomed-out consolidation zone in advance. ETH has little story to tell right now; instead, it has returned to a stage where you can start slowly accumulating chips.
ETH can now be dollar-cost averaged in, but only up to 30% of the position.
The accumulation method remains pyramid-style orders, with the number of layers depending on your judgment. Here, the focus is on risk boundaries.
We
ETH5,18%
BTC3,68%
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ShizukaKazuvip:
2026 Go Go Go 👊
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Guessing the Bear Market Bottom from Historical Cycles
Based on the retracement depths of previous bull-to-bear cycles, we can estimate as follows: around 2011, the retracement was 94%, which can be ignored as it was very early with limited liquidity and participants. Around 2013, the retracement was 87%. Around 2017, it was 84%. Around 2021, it was 77%. For 2025, the retracement? The retracement appears to be decreasing based on cycle retracement strength, as market consensus becomes stronger and with the addition of institutional investors, mining costs after each halving, and other factors.
BTC3,68%
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Discoveryvip:
Happy New Year! 🤑
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Talk about the upcoming trend of gold$XAU and silver$XAG .
The reason for the decline in gold and silver is simply because they rose too much before. Claims like Wosh taking office are just excuses. Even without the news of Wosh taking office, the market would still fall; it's just a matter of time. Such rapid growth, don't just blame gold; if you replace it with the NASDAQ, the same outcome would occur. The market has been moving upward for so long, so a pullback is very normal. After falling so much in a short period, with no resistance at all, it indicates that the trend should be temporar
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HighAmbitionvip:
thnxx for the update
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If you're feeling overwhelmed by losses, you can check out MaJi.
MaJi Big Brother has been liquidated 14 times in the past 6 hours, with an account balance of only $20,815. Currently, a total of 241 liquidations have occurred. #加密市场观察
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Discoveryvip:
Happy New Year! 🤑
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I looked at today's crypto news, and various whales and big players are starting to cut losses and stop. The next step is probably that institutions will begin to collapse. I had emphasized to everyone in the square before that the market will not usher in a slow bull run just because institutions enter. At that time, many people argued back, as the crypto world specializes in overcoming all objections. When the bear market arrives, even passing dogs will be cut. #加密市场观察
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HighAmbitionvip:
thnx for sharing information
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Regarding the current $BTC long-term outlook
Whether for defensive investors or aggressive investors, caution is advised. The current bear market rhythm is very prominent and obvious.
First, the impact of the Bitcoin halving bull market has diminished; secondly, the bull markets driven by AI, non-ferrous metals, and US tech stocks have not yet experienced a major cycle correction, and capital remains enthusiastic, which further affects the heat in the crypto space. Third, political, war, and policy factors are unfavorable to the crypto market. Fourth, most central banks, including the Federal
BTC3,68%
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HighAmbitionvip:
Happy New Year! 🤑
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Although the current performance $BTC garbage, it is still optimistic
No matter what metal, stock, or fund, it is still impossible to surpass Bitcoin in terms of potential yield and safety for a long time.
Bitcoin currently has the highest potential yield among the varieties that can be relieved of studs.
Even if it falls from $126,000 to $50,000, it only means a windfall from the sky, giving people who don't stock up enough more opportunities.
Bitcoin also has unique advantages in terms of ease of understanding.
Compared with A-shares, the companies in the U.S. stock market are relatively ea
BTC3,68%
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HighAmbitionvip:
Buy To Earn 💎
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Today, the gold market has once again refreshed everyone's understanding. Under the bearish pressure of the Federal Reserve's clear announcement yesterday not to cut interest rates and to maintain high rates, gold prices not only did not fall but directly broke through $5,500. Generally speaking, with high US dollar interest rates, assets like gold that do not generate interest should be out of favor, but the current market trend is completely opposite.
1. Why did the "no rate cut" policy fail?
In the past, gold prices feared rate hikes because everyone thought holding dollars was more profita
PAXG1,55%
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Discoveryvip:
2026 GOGOGO 👊
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Listening to Powell's live broadcast, it was much more dovish than expected.
During the Q&A, Powell directly refused to answer sensitive questions unrelated to the Federal Reserve's duties, indicating a retreat before stepping down.
But he also emphasized two points:
1. Interest rates are at the upper end of the neutral zone
2. Tariffs are very likely a one-time price increase, and the core PCE excluding the impact of tariffs is slightly above 2%, which is very healthy
All of this leaves room for rate cuts in the future.
The current market has already priced in no rate cuts before May( Powell
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Discoveryvip:
2026 GOGOGO 👊
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Gold has experienced an epic rally, and silver is following suit, but $BTC continues to decline steadily. This wave of gains seems to be supported by fundamentals, but in reality, it's all just a frenzy of speculative capital. The ending will likely be more brutal than previous cycles. The London gold leasing rate has soared, and short sellers can't borrow gold, pushing the short squeeze to the extreme. Exchanges will inevitably raise costs and limit positions, directly cutting off market liquidity. After the bulls' collective rally turns into a stampede and escapes, funds will eventually lea
BTC3,68%
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Discoveryvip:
Happy New Year! 🤑
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$BTC
The total market capitalization of altcoins has fallen to a ten-year low, with remaining volume only about $119.5 billion. This figure is lower than the bear market of 2018, below the 2020 312 black swan event, and also below the bottom after the FTX collapse in 2022. From a historical perspective, this is a very high level of compression.
Historically, genuine altcoin rallies often do not occur when everyone is optimistic about them, but rather after they have been long ignored, continuously suppressed, and almost abandoned, followed by a reflow of liquidity. Currently, this stage resem
BTC3,68%
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Discoveryvip:
Buy To Earn 💎
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Ethereum$ETH in this market, even Vitalik can't hold on
Starting to wear worn-out socks to attend meetings😁😁😁😁😁😁
ETH5,18%
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Discoveryvip:
2026 GOGOGO 👊
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What is the bottom of this round of Bitcoin bear market?
Last year, Bitcoin peaked at 126,000, and this year it has already entered a bear market. If you still insist that this is a bull market, a super cycle, then there's no need to read further.
There are only two core questions in a bear market: where will BTC price fall to? When will the bottom be reached?
The first approach is to look at the "decreasing law" of historical bear market declines. In each Bitcoin bear market, the maximum decline gets smaller, gradually converging overall, rather than repeatedly dropping 70%+.
The top structur
BTC3,68%
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SpeciallyTargetingChildren'svip:
2026 Go Go Go 👊
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The upcoming week will be a crucial one for the cryptocurrency market
January 26: The probability of a US government shutdown skyrockets to 80%
January 28: Federal Reserve interest rate decision, Powell press conference, earnings reports from Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla
January 29: Initial jobless claims, Apple earnings report
January 30: US PPI inflation data, the final deadline for the US government shutdown
Market volatility is expected to be very intense. Are you panicking😄
In the short-term trend, if the price continues to fall, I think it might actually be a short-term rebound opportunit
BTC3,68%
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MasterChuTheOldDemonMasterChuvip:
2026 Go Go Go 👊
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The next bull market will definitely see a focus on stablecoins. Stablecoins are currently the most successful real-world applications of blockchain, and the market won't be limited to just USDT and USDC.
$WLFI 's exit with USD1 and $ENA 's launch of USDE
Currently, it seems both of these stablecoins are unlikely to fail.
If you want to get involved in the stablecoin sector, those with a US stock account can directly buy CRCL, while those without a US stock account can choose between WLFI and ENA to position themselves for the next bull market. Personally, I lean more towards WLFI.
#Ga
USDC-0,05%
WLFI-6,75%
USD1-0,04%
ENA3,64%
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MasterChuTheOldDemonMasterChuvip:
2026 Go Go Go 👊
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The current round of TAO has actually completed a full cycle. It started with a rapid rise driven by sentiment, followed by distribution at high levels, then entered a more rhythmic decline. The subsequent rebound only stopped near the downward pressure, and the pullback itself was part of the script.
Now, this position is neither good nor bad. Ideally, it would slowly form a bottom here; a less ideal scenario is to continue downward along the original trend. Anyway, it's not something that can be figured out in a day or two.
So at this stage, the price is less important, and time is more
TAO-1,02%
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Discoveryvip:
2026 GOGOGO 👊
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Bitcoin - Ethereum Next Week Focus
The Federal Reserve decision is approaching, and Trump has revoked the threat of tariffs on Europe over Greenland!
The key level for Bitcoin at 90,000 and the main trend for Ethereum at 3000—will the market bring new declines?
Similarly, after three consecutive rate cuts, the pause appears to be temporary. According to LSEG data, the money market is now fully considering future rate cut points. In reality, these are just gimmicks. The volatility that should occur in crypto won't be affected by the current situation. Excluding certainty (positive or negative),
BTC3,68%
ETH5,18%
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Ryakpandavip:
Just go for it💪
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