Besides that, most of the images are already in. Even in the Hubble images, you can barely see it - it's basically just a single pixel on the screen. So there's no way we'll be able to prove anything.
First of all, it's very unlikely - even Avi Loeb only gave it a 40% chance. And even if it did contain life, there's no way we could prove it. 3I ATLAS will make its closest approach to Earth on December 19th this year - at a distance of 1.8 AU (1 AU is the distance from the
One of the more interesting Polymarkets right now is whether the interstellar object 3I ATLAS contains alien life or alien technology. At its peak, bettors on Polymarket gave it an 8% chance of 'yes.' However, the market will almost certainly resolve to zero at the end of
We'll probably get the best images from the JUICE spacecraft, but those won't be available until February 2026 - long after the Polymarket ends. And even then, we're unlikely to see much more. So I don't see any scenario in which that market resolves to 'yes'.
I mean, a lot can happen in 23 days, but I'm having a hard time imagining the U.S. confirming the existence of aliens. I've picked up quite a few 'No' shares over the last few weeks - feeling pretty good about it. No big payout if it hits, but hey, it's honest work. #Polymarket
Fun Fact: In 2007, Markus Söder was one of the first German politicians to call for a ban on combustion engines by 2020. In 2020, he reiterated his demand—this time for 2035. But suddenly, politics is to blame for exactly that being decided?
If you're wondering where the money is coming from - most of it is from issuing new shares ($928M). Keep in mind, these are additional shares $MSTR issued on top of the $1.4B they raised the week before. It's really bad timing for shareholders right now, since mNAV is negative.
I was at CrossFit when $STABLE launched today, so I missed the early short at launch. I could only short the bounce - but good enough to keep me from feeling any FOMO. I'll keep shorting every bounce. Good luck to the investors and the team with their 50% allocation. 🫡😂
$40B sounds like a lot for Ripple, but they still have $80B worth of XRP in escrow - just to put that into perspective. Obviously, it'll take years to dump it.
If you've ever wondered how reinforcement learning actually works in AI, this documentary nails it - super clear, super engaging. A great watch. Spoiler alert: they even managed to win a Nobel Prize in Chemistry with the tech they developed.
You don't have to be a Trump fan, but unlike @spdbt, @cducsubt, and @baerbelbas, they have understood how retirement provision should actually work. Also strong is the sentence: 'That every child will own shares in America's largest companies.'
Are there actually any CDU/CSU people who go home proud today and think: 'Great, today we did something good for the country' -- except maybe these seven here?
These projects seem to learn nothing from the mistakes of past teams. Let me present to you the next token destined to slowly bleed to zero: $STABLE. A 50% allocation for the team and investors is just insane. RIP 💀
I don't think the low-float, high-FDV playbook is working anymore. Monad ($MON) launched with 10% of the supply in circulation (excluding ecosystem tokens), and yet the price has only gone down. Not sure who's supposed to absorb all those tokens once they unlock.
3/3 Most people tend to overestimate the probability of an up or down event once the price goes above $0.69. It basically shows that crypto prices behave more like a random walk, making them much harder to predict.