Crypto_Xincheng

1.10
In the non-farm payroll data released yesterday, the unemployment rate decreased from 4.5% last month to 4.4%. This is a slight positive for the economy but also reduces the number of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2026. Of course, this is without considering Trump and the new Federal Reserve Chair.
Then, the employed population decreased from 56,000 last month to 50,000, below the expected 60,000. This is slightly negative, but not a big issue. After the change of the Federal Reserve Chair in 2026, the market has not yet started pricing in it, and it still depends on the

BTC
There are non-farm payroll data tonight. Currently, the price has been oscillating within a narrow range, waiting for the news to settle.
At present, as long as the hourly price does not break 90500, a double bottom formation will occur. On a larger scale, as long as it does not break 89000, the upward continuation can be expected. If it breaks below, it's time to take profits.

1.8
Yesterday, the NASDAQ and S&P 500 both hit new highs, but by the close, they both fell back. The crypto market also experienced a correction. Cryptocurrency itself is influenced by liquidity and user activity. Its size makes it impossible to compare with leading US stocks, so increased volatility is inevitable. Today's decline is partly related to a series of new measures by Trump. In his eagerness for votes, Trump has imposed restrictions on defense contractors and institutional home purchases. Additionally, Venezuela's state oil company PDVSA doesn't seem very cooperative, so the current

A recent rebound was triggered by buybacks, but it still lacked sustainability. Recently, the rebound in the altcoin market has been accompanied by decreasing volume, which also indicates that since the 10.11 spike, the market has been experiencing a lack of funds and weakness.
As an old DeFi project, UNI has not seen better innovation in recent years. Relying solely on buybacks to boost the price is unrealistic because there are too many trapped positions above and a lack of fresh capital entering the market. It can only be a matter of buying and selling back and forth. However, for project t

Do you think the current market is a bull market or a bear market?
I ask this question because I believe many people are feeling confused about the market trend during this period, and I am also confused. This is the difficulty of trading. Let's take a look at the indices:
① Nasdaq (US stocks): On the weekly chart, it appears to be building a top, but it hasn't come down yet. On the daily chart, it is forming a high-level consolidation triangle, which is a continuation of the upward trend.
② S&P 500: Has already hit a new high, and on the daily chart, it is forming an ascending wedge, indicati

1.7
These past couple of days, institutional net inflows into the US BTC spot ETF have approached 7,500 Bitcoins. This is the largest single-day net inflow since October 7th. Even in a bull market, this data is impressive; combined, only BlackRock and Fidelity account for nearly 6,000 Bitcoins of net inflow.
This Friday (Friday night at 23:00 Beijing time) is the Supreme Court's opinion solicitation day. It is the first time the Supreme Court has directly addressed the legality of Trump's global tariffs at the procedural level, and it may even be the first time the Court rules on Trump's globa

1.6
Yesterday, BTC showed a good upward momentum. On one hand, it was due to the correlation with tech stocks. The market responded directly to the US actions against Venezuela. From the Asian time zone in the morning, US stock futures started to rise, and after the US stock market opened in the evening, it continued to climb. This indicates that US and European investors also see this as a positive development. After all, the smooth flow of Venezuela's oil can help reduce global inflation, not to mention that the US plans to develop gold and rare earths together with Venezuela.
Although the

UNI Soon to double your returns💹
The Uniswap fee distribution switch is a watershed in DeFi, and also the most successful application in the history of decentralized trading.
Major changes from recent proposals:
Consumption of 1 billion UNI( (approximately 16% reduction in supply)
Official launch of protocol fee switch
Fees used for continuous UNI burning
Release of a complete ecosystem roadmap
Gradual termination of Labs entity
Coordinate with traceable destruction
This is not a short-term impact but a narrative shift with structural re-emergence.
From a technical perspective, the monthly

ETH
Currently, at this position, it was mentioned this morning that there might be a retracement on a smaller timeframe because the hourly chart has already moved through three segments and needs to undergo a correction. Therefore, the key levels to watch now are 3050 to 3080. Check whether this range can hold. If it does, it will continue to push upward, driving the four-hour level. If not, it will once again return to around 3000.
As long as the daily trend of Ethereum can stay above the MACD zero line, it will move around 3500 to 3680, followed by a rebound and subsequent adjustment.

BTC
Bitcoin intra-day requires attention to the 15-minute and 1-hour level retracements, because from a smaller timeframe perspective, three waves have already completed. However, the overall direction remains unchanged. The key point to watch next is whether the level around 90600 can hold. If it can hold, it will continue to rise and test 100,000.
Look at the chart, then it will move in three waves on the four-hour level, ending this short-term rebound.

Venezuela has been accumulating crypto assets since 2018. The regime once exchanged approximately 2 billion USD worth of gold earnings for about 40,000 Bitcoins, with an average price of 5,000 USD.
Additionally, between 2023 and 2025, Venezuela acquired approximately 10 billion to 15 billion USD worth of crypto assets through crude oil trade, and due to USDT's freezing capabilities, they converted these assets into Bitcoin. Venezuela is ranked as the fourth largest Bitcoin holder globally. If these assets are confiscated, they could be held in custody by the US Treasury and enter long-term loc

12.30
Yesterday, the crypto market was affected by non-ferrous metals, and it directly formed a gate. This period has been continuously forming a gate. When the market makes you develop a certain habit, it also means a trend reversal is coming. The 90,000 magic number is still in play. Although the reason is unknown, the increasing trading volume suggests there are still quite a few resistors. A decisive breakout may require stronger positive catalysts to support buying momentum. Currently, the daily chart has become a straight line. The strategy remains the same: as long as 86,000 is not brok

12.29
The US stock market holiday schedule during New Year's Day is as follows:‌ January 1st (Thursday) closed for one day‌,‌ resuming normal trading from January 2nd (Friday)‌; additionally,‌ on the evening of December 31st (Wednesday), the US stock market will‌ close early‌,‌ and on January 1, 2026,‌ the market will‌ be closed all day.
The Federal Reserve released the December monetary policy minutes at 03:00 on December 31st. The December meeting minutes can provide a clearer understanding of the current internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve, the points of controversy, and plans

12.27
The day after Christmas, the US stock market opened with a wave of decline. However, the pullback in US stocks was relatively mild, with Bitcoin experiencing a slightly larger correction. In this liquidity environment, it is understandable; often, a decline without reason reflects investor sentiment.
One year ago today, the market sentiment was also poor, mainly due to the Federal Reserve's actions. Investors were still expecting whether Trump could come out to rescue the market. Now, after a year, aside from the lingering shadow of the Federal Reserve, Trump doesn't seem as interested i

12.26
BTC
Yesterday's Christmas was peaceful. The holiday itself is a period of very low liquidity because any slight movement in the current market can trigger fluctuations. The current order book hasn't changed much and is still oscillating to the right. Next, we should pay attention to the foreign funds' planning and allocation ratios around New Year's Day and the start of the new year abroad to see their impact on the market. The current approach remains the same: as long as the 84700 level is not broken, there is a chance to move upward. However, trading around this level, whether long or