Malfoy

You can move the price on @Polymarket but you can’t move the rules.
A whale aped almost $300k into YES at ~91c on Kodiak FDV > $50M, thinking size + CEX pump would carry it.
Problem is he didn’t read the fine print... settlement follows the most liquid market.
Deepest liquidity was Kodiak’s own DEX at 3–5c, while smart traders quietly loaded NO.
Settlement hit, rules won and about $200k evaporated.
🔗

2025 had a funny way of humbling narratives.
According to @coingecko, RWAs were the most profitable narrative this year, up +185.8% YTD.
It didnt happen because they were loud, but because they worked.
Meanwhile, the sectors that once carried the hype cycle (GameFi and DePIN) bled out -75%+ YTD.
Even the @solana ecosystem that had it's own mindshare all year, ranked among the biggest decliners.
Feels like one of those markets that quietly teaches you a lesson.
In 2025, the money followed fundamentals.

2025 have shown me some of the smartest people on CT.
People are making money off retail FOMO and it's on @Polymarket.
+ 118 projects launched via TGE this year
+ Around 100 are now trading below TGE
+ The median token is down ~71% FDV from launch
Most of the big 2025 launches were clearly overvalued on pre-markets.
Sure, there are still great projects. Some launches will do very well.
But if you look at the stats, the picture is pretty clear.
Pinned one of the top traders here:

GM to the holidays ☕️
It's Christmas Eve today 🪄🎄
Spend more time with family and friends 🧡

GM Legends 🌞
FOMC and Rate news today, stay safe!☕️

GM CT 🌞
Every new day is a choice 👌
Build wealth or remain where you are 😎

If you really look at this graph, you'd see that $BTC's best months are October & November.
Although, this year's October & November were the worst in the past few years.
And it gets worse because according to the charts...
December is one of the WORST months for $BTC, because it's a festive month with low volume.

Good morning family ☕️
Congratulations on making it to December 🔥
Let’s get this bag 💼

Leverage addiction is officially at an all-time high.
US leveraged ETF AUM just blasted to $239B in Q3 2025, the biggest number ever recorded.
For context...
This whole market was sitting around $60B not too long ago. Now, it’s four times that.
Meaning a lot of people are putting their money on the line this cycle.
It's definitely retail and institutions will use this data for themselves.

GM Legends! 🌞
Happy New Week ☕️
Can I get a GM this fine morning? 🔥

Good morning CT 🌞
Another to dig through this bear market ☕️

If you really look at it, it's crazy how money supply is exploding.
Even while central banks are “tightening,” right?
We’ve added about $10T to global money supply in the last year alone.
Now imagine when central banks eventually have to flip back to expansion mode.
Ignore the short-term volatility in hard assets for a second.
This is the macro signal that actually drives the cycle.

This week has been disappointing in terms of what the market is giving us.
+ ETF inflows have slowed down
+ Long-term holders are selling more aggressively
+ Retail is basically on ghost mode
Research firms are even calling this an early-stage bear phase.
Now, price is sliding into thin air with support around $93k–$95k. $BTC
Lose that zone and bears might drag it toward $89.6k.
Even analysts are saying the next move depends on macro.

GM CT frens 🌞
Surviving is non negotiable, Everything else is bullshit ☕
Whatever it takes survive! 💪🏻
Happy new week 🤎

The fear/greed chart is at the lowest I've ever seen.
It's at 15 and even went to 14 yesterday (lowest since March).
Everywhere is dry and no one wants to put any money in...
And somehow $BTC is still crawling UP the macro trendline.
This is exactly how bottoms feel in real time, sentiment dies first.
📸 @CryptosR_Us