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Deep Tide TechFlow news, 04 April, although the Middle East war has posed “a significant new risk” to Japan’s economic outlook, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) urges the Bank of Japan to continue raising interest rates. Against the backdrop that markets generally expect the Bank of Japan to raise rates as early as April, the IMF has issued this recommendation. Driven by the conflict, oil prices have risen and import costs have increased due to the weakening yen, so the inflation pressure in the headline is intensifying.

In its statement, the IMF said that although economic growth is expected to slow down (partly because of the Iran war), moderate wage growth will support consumption. The risks facing Japan’s economic outlook and inflation are broadly balanced, and inflation is expected to return to the Bank of Japan’s 2% target level in 2027. As underlying inflation gradually moves toward the Bank of Japan’s target, interest rates should continue to be raised gradually in a flexible manner, with good communication and data reliance, moving toward the neutral interest rate level. The IMF also emphasized that maintaining a flexible exchange rate regime is crucial, because it can serve as a reliable buffer to address external shocks. (Jin Ten)

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