#加密市场回调 There is a tough battle tonight at 21:30 - the U.S. non-farm payroll data for September is about to be released. This thing is not an ordinary economic indicator; it will directly influence the Fed's interest rate cut pace, and in turn stir up the dollar's trend, ultimately transmitting to $BTC $ETH $XRP and other risk assets. Is your Holdings ready to take on the challenge? **Four scenarios, four ways of living** **Scenario 1: Employment + Salary Surges** Are the new job openings and salary increases both exceeding expectations? That would be troublesome. The market will interpret it as "inflation is not dead yet," hawkish sentiment will immediately rise, the dollar will strengthen, and funds will withdraw from the crypto market. During such times, don't take chances; a quick pullback and violent fluctuations are almost certain events, and whether the key support level can hold depends on luck. **Scenario 2: Both are below expectations** Cooling employment and slowing wage growth? Congratulations, this is the most ideal "golden-haired girl script" — neither too hot nor too cold. The expectation of interest rate cuts will directly warm up the market, risk appetite will return, and the crypto circle is likely to welcome a wave of general bullish trends. Of course, the strength of the rebound depends on the extent to which the data deviates from expectations and the determination of capital to enter the market. **Scenario Three: One Strong and One Weak Mixed Signal** Strong employment but weak wages? Or the other way around? This contradictory combination is the most torturous. The market will fall into a state of "neither daring to go long nor daring to short," with funds on the sidelines and high-frequency traders engaging in frenzied speculation. The manifestation is a severe sideways movement, with wild fluctuations but no direction, waiting for clearer clues to emerge. **What to do? Two response plans** If you are a short-term trader: It's best to close risk positions before data is released, or set a wide stop loss — gaps and spikes are too common. After the data comes out, don't rush in; wait for the volatility peak within the first 30 minutes to pass, then operate based on the stable range. Never chase highs or cut losses. If you are a long-term holder: Short-term fluctuations can be ignored, but the cumulative impact of macro trends on sentiment must be paid attention to. Systematic investment in batches + dynamic rebalancing is the right approach; when encountering major support or resistance levels, position allocation can be adjusted appropriately. **Final Reminder** Events of this level, like non-farm data, come with slippage and high volatility as standard. Don't use too much leverage, and stop-losses must be strict. You can only survive to the next opportunity if you manage your position well. This article is merely a market observation, not a trading signal; you are responsible for your own money.

#美SEC促进加密创新监管体系 Go long? This path has never led to financial freedom. The market has been eerily quiet lately; where have all the friends with their long positions gone? Last month, I encountered a typical case: stubbornly holding onto a long position for a whole half month, the account's floating loss expanded to the point of numbness. In the end, it was I who helped him analyze the situation, decisively cut losses and go short, just managing to fill the gap. What's even more ridiculous? After winning two trades in a row, I felt as if I had become a trading master. But then a deep correction occurred, and it wiped out my principal. It was only then that I realized the cost of market education is more expensive than any course. I always adhere to one principle — The cost of overconfidence far exceeds your loss limit. Those who have truly survived in this market for a long time understand the importance of staying humble. $XRP and $ZEC 's recent trends are the best teaching materials: trend reversals often occur when most people are most certain. If you are currently stuck in a position, frequently trying and failing, and stubbornly refusing to admit your mistakes— Stop and reassess your trading logic. With the end of the year approaching, I hope you can adjust your strategies in a timely manner; protecting your principal is more important than anything else. The market is always there, but opportunities only belong to those who are prepared.

After the Halving, have the Miner community really started to shift to Ripple? This operation is quite interesting - the BTC Mining costs have skyrocketed, could XRP be the new way out? Or is it just a joke?