PlanB's latest prediction: Bitcoin has crossed the "point of no return" and will big pump to $250,000 in 2026.

The Bitcoin market is at a critical turning point, and the latest prediction from well-known crypto analyst PlanB has sparked widespread attention among investors. According to the analysis from this founder of the Stock-to-Flow model, Bitcoin crossed the bull-bear line in June 2025, entering an irreversible rise phase, and is expected to reach an astonishing target price of $250,000 in 2026. This bold prediction is supported by profound technical analysis and market fundamentals, making it worthy of close attention from all crypto assets investors.

“No Return Point”: The Key Turning Point of the Bitcoin Bull Market

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PlanB pointed out in his latest social media analysis that the Bitcoin market reached what he calls the “yellow point” (point of no return) in June 2025, a signal indicating that the market has officially entered an irreversible bull market phase. This observation is based on in-depth research and comparison of Bitcoin's historical price patterns.

“This cycle's bull market is fundamentally different from previous ones,” PlanB emphasized, “we may be experiencing a more durable and robust rise trend, rather than the past pattern of frantic surges driven by FOMO (fear of missing out) followed by sharp collapses.”

PlanB compared the current market situation with three key turning points in Bitcoin's history:

January 2013: Bitcoin began its first major bull market cycle.

February 2017: The second large-scale bull market begins

October 2020: The third bull market begins to form

According to his analysis, the current market has already shown characteristics similar to these historical turning points, but the potential rise may be greater and the duration may be longer.

Comparison of Technical Indicators and Historical Patterns

PlanB's analysis is based not only on price trends but also combines multiple technical indicators and market cycle theories. He pointed out that the current stock-to-flow ratio of Bitcoin (measuring the ratio of existing supply to new supply) is at a historical high, which usually indicates a long-term rise in prices.

“From a technical perspective, we have broken through key resistance levels and established a solid support base,” PlanB explained, “This pattern has appeared in the last three bull markets, but the current fundamental factors are even stronger.”

Dual Catalysts: ETF Approval and Trump's Policy Shift

PlanB particularly emphasized two unique fundamental factors in the current bull market cycle that did not exist in previous bull markets:

· The historic approval of Bitcoin ETF

In early 2024, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved the first Bitcoin spot ETFs, a decision seen as a watershed moment for the crypto assets market. PlanB believes that the launch of the ETF provides a compliant, low-risk Bitcoin investment channel for traditional financial institutions and retail investors, thereby significantly expanding the potential investor base.

“The approval of the Bitcoin ETF is not just a short-term positive news; it fundamentally changes the market structure,” PlanB pointed out. “We are witnessing an unprecedented inflow of institutional funds, which typically have longer investment horizons and stronger holding intentions.”

Data shows that since the launch of the ETF, hundreds of billions of dollars in new funds have flowed into the Bitcoin market, and this trend may have only just begun.

· Trump administration's encryption-friendly policy

PlanB's second key observation is the potential impact of Trump's re-election as President of the United States on the Crypto Assets market. He believes that the Trump administration may adopt a more friendly regulatory stance towards encryption, which starkly contrasts with the strict regulations of the previous Democratic administration.

“The shift in the policy environment may unleash the long-suppressed potential of the market,” PlanB stated, “we may see more innovation, more adoption, and more institutional participants entering this space.”

He specifically pointed out that the Trump administration may promote a clearer regulatory framework while avoiding excessive regulation, which will create a more favorable development environment for the entire Crypto Assets industry.

2026 Target: Bitcoin Hits $250,000 Mark

Based on the analysis above, PlanB made his bold prediction: the price of Bitcoin is expected to reach 250,000 USD by 2026. This prediction means that calculated from the current price level, Bitcoin still has more than 100% of rise space.

“The target of $250,000 is not set arbitrarily,” PlanB explained, “it is based on a comprehensive analysis of multiple factors, including the stock-to-flow model, market cycle theory, institutional adoption rates, and the macroeconomic environment.”

He further pointed out that this target price takes into account the scarcity of Bitcoin, global monetary policy trends, and the growing demand for digital assets as a hedge against inflation.

New Bull Market Model: Steady Rise Replaces Dramatic Volatility

Another important point from PlanB is that the current bull market may break past patterns, showing a more stable and lasting rise trend, rather than the previous pattern of extreme volatility.

“Past bull markets are usually driven by the FOMO sentiment of retail investors, leading to a rapid price rise followed by a sharp decline,” he explained. “But now, with the participation of institutional investors and the increased maturity of the market, we may see a more robust and lasting rise trend.”

This new bull market pattern may indicate lower short-term volatility but higher long-term returns, which is a positive signal for long-term holders.

How should investors respond? Expert recommendations and risk warnings

Although PlanB's predictions are exciting, investors should remain cautious and rational. The cryptocurrency market still has high volatility and uncertainty, and even the most accurate predictions may fail due to unforeseen events.

For investors interested in participating in this potential bull market, experts offer the following advice:

Diversify Your Investments: Don't put all your funds into Bitcoin, maintain a diversified investment portfolio.

Long-term perspective: Avoid short-term trading and excessive leverage, adopt a long-term holding strategy.

Regular Investment: Consider adopting a dollar-cost averaging strategy to reduce the risk of market timing.

Risk Management: Only invest funds that you can afford to lose, and set clear stop-loss and profit targets.

Continuous Learning: Follow market developments and changes in fundamentals, constantly adjusting investment strategies.

Conclusion: The Long-Term Prospects of Bitcoin and Market Transformation

PlanB's latest predictions are not just about price targets, but also insights into the fundamental transformations happening in the Bitcoin market. It is shifting from a speculative market primarily driven by retail investors to a mature asset class increasingly recognized and adopted by institutions.

“Bitcoin is undergoing a transformation from an alternative asset to a mainstream financial instrument,” PlanB summarized, “this transition could bring unprecedented price growth and market stability.”

Regardless of whether PlanB's $250,000 prediction ultimately comes true, his analysis provides investors with a framework to think about the long-term value of Bitcoin and market dynamics. In this fast-evolving field, it is crucial to maintain an open mind and critical thinking.