DanielHuang

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$BTC The current geopolitical-driven oil inflation shackles have completely locked in the Federal Reserve's rate cut flexibility. Even if this month's non-farm payrolls show strong performance, it will only marginally reinforce the expectation of "higher interest rates for longer," without causing a disruptive impact on the rate cut path. Conversely, even if non-farm payrolls weaken significantly, expectations for rate cuts are unlikely to rise substantially. The ultimate outcome is that Bitcoin remains in a pattern of "strong resistance above, no strong support below," with the short-term co
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$BTC Non-farm payrolls significantly better than expectations + oil prices remain high
Expectations of rate cuts cool down + stagflation concerns → BTC biased bearish, prone to retest 65,000 or even lower
2. Non-farm payrolls far below expectations + oil prices remain high
Weak economy but high inflation → tug-of-war between bulls and bears → BTC fluctuates widely, difficult to establish a clear trend
3. Non-farm payrolls in line with expectations + no new geopolitical news
Market remains cautious → BTC maintains range-bound consolidation, waiting for next Monday
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$BTC The surge in US stocks, gold, and cryptocurrencies is not a reversal but a rebound triggered by the US and Iran's attempt to end the conflict. The US's approach to the Strait of Hormuz is "disruptive control," and high oil prices will cause continuous bleeding in financial markets. This market trend is prone to false signals, and most people should patiently wait for risk clearing opportunities. There are still many "hellish scenarios" ahead, such as geopolitical tensions, which require ongoing attention.
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$HYPE How to make Myanmar Kyat like a meme
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$HYPE Rare to see such a big drop
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A weekend dominated by yellow-haired guy
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