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Bitcoin Ethereum Structure Breakdown: The End of the诱多 is Here, Pursuing Shorts Requires Precise Swordsmanship!
1. Daily + Weekly Structure Core Insights
Bitcoin (BTC)
- Daily: Looks like a “small consecutive bullish days + moving average bullish alignment” illusion, but MACD red bars continue to shrink, RSI hits 74.1 in overbought territory, after reaching the high of $94,400, it repeatedly pushes higher then falls back, with frequent upper shadows revealing selling pressure. The $93,000-$95,000 zone is a dense area of December trapped positions; breaking through lacks volume support, purely a “false alarm.”
- Weekly: Appears to stand above the EMA7, but has not broken the weekly TBO resistance at $98,637, and funds continue to flow into altcoins. BTC dominance drops below 59%, upward momentum is severely diverted. The so-called “W bottom breakout” is actually a诱多 trap.
Ethereum (ETH)
- Daily: Follows Bitcoin’s rally but shows weakness, heavy selling pressure in the $3,250-$3,300 range, multiple attempts to hit the $3,307 high failed, volume decreases and bearish divergence signals appear. Moving average support seems solid but is actually fragile.
- Weekly: Although Blob indicator updates provide some positive support, the $3,435 weekly resistance is far away. The current trend is entirely dependent on Bitcoin, lacking independent upward momentum. High-level oscillation is purely “passive survival.”
2. Clear View:诱多 is Reaching the End, Be Cautious About Shorting!
1. Proof of诱多 End: 128,000 traders wiped out in 24 hours, with $288 million long positions liquidated. Main force uses “institutional ETF capital inflow” narrative to pump, but in reality, they are疯狂出货 at high levels of $94,000+ and $3,300+. Retail traders are clearly taking the bait. Meme coins surged 300%, essentially a “last round of hype” with no real funds left, historically a precursor to market reversal.
2. Core Logic of Shorting: Bitcoin 4-hour bearish divergence + Ethereum inverted hammer line, technical correction pressure is overwhelming; $90,000 and $3,200 are critical thresholds. Once broken, chain reaction of stop-losses will trigger, targeting the CME gap at $91,500 and support at $3,150. After breaking these levels, focus shifts to the round numbers of $90,000 and $3,000.
3. Risk Warning:诱多 volatility is extreme at this stage, do not blindly short! Wait for “volume breakdown of support” confirmation signals. Set stop-loss above previous highs ($94,400, $3,307) to avoid being swept by the main force’s final “pin-in诱多.” The key to flipping positions is “precise ambush,” not “gambler’s follow-the-leader.”
3. Trading Tips from the Flip-Your-Position Master
The current market is a classic “main force harvesting retail traders” script. It looks bullish but is actually “the last gasp of a broken bow.” The real opportunity to flip positions lies in “trend-following shorts after诱多 breakdown,” not chasing high to buy in! Remember: only enter after support levels break, firmly set stop-losses, and gradually increase positions. This is the underlying logic for flipping positions in the crypto world.

The administrative dispute over #Zcash led to its collapse. Here is the reason why it might be less significant than it appears.
The privacy coin "#Zcash " team caused a stir on the network on Thursday by announcing their separation to establish a new company after a disagreement with "Bootstraps," a non-profit organization created to support the network. However, this move is unlikely to make a significant change for the second-largest privacy platform, according to Mert Mamtaz, CEO of Helios API platform (API) affiliated with Solana.
Mamtaz said in a post on X: "Zcash didn't lose anything. The European Control Center team (E. CC) was unhappy with its board, so they spun off the company itself under a different name and without a board... which means they are now free from political burdens."
This separation caused Zcash's value to drop by up to 19%, negatively impacting what had been a year of growth. Its value increased by 880% in 2025. Meanwhile, the competing coin "Monero" (XMR$461.13) saw the biggest rise following the announcement.
The team, which was working at Electric Coin Company (E. CC), one of the main companies developing the coin, announced that it will continue working on the token. Boot.. strap remains the non-profit organization overseeing Zcash, and the new development company was funded through open grants.
Josh Suyart, former CEO of E. CC, said in a post on X: "Most importantly, the Zcash protocol was unaffected. This decision simply aims to protect our team's work from malicious governance practices that hindered E. CC's original mission."
The dispute centered around the potential privatization of Zashi, a private mobile wallet for the protocol, aimed at attracting external investments. Boot... strap issued a statement saying it is working with a legal advisor to ensure any future path complies with U.S. law and does not jeopardize the broader Zcash community.
"Clear Conflict"
Former team members confirmed that Boot... strap's methods conflict with Zcash's broader goals.
Suyart wrote that the Bootstraps board was in "clear disagreement" with Zcash's mission, claiming that the team had been "constructively dismissed."
Sean Bowe, a prominent cryptography expert and former engineer of selective cryptographic algorithms, said that reorganizing under a new structure would free the project from what he described as Bootstraps' overly cautious governance, allowing developers to better focus on Zcash's mission.
He wrote on X: "We weren't slaves, and we would have left if we felt we could build Zcash better under a different structure. Well, that's exactly what happened two days ago."
Argon Khimani, who describes himself as a "meme war leader" in Zcash, shared this view, writing on X that "no one from Zcash has resigned," and that the entire development team is more cohesive than ever.
They realized that bureaucracy cannot be allowed to hinder the future of freedom.
Superficially, this crisis seems negative. The digital currency's value has dropped the most since December 1, and developers are frustrated, with a clear rift between Bootstraps and the network builders.
But in reality, the team that developed features like protected transactions and the Tayon update will continue working on the network, albeit under a new name.
Zuko Wilcox, former CEO of Electric Coin, also stated that Thursday's events will not affect the Zcash network.
"Zcash is open-source, permissionless, secure, private, and nothing happening in this dispute will change that. You can continue to use Zcash safely."
Monero Gain
Nevertheless, although a fundamental change in daily development is unlikely, the tense relations caused by this crisis may have structural impacts in the coming months.
This divergence may have benefited Monero, which increased in value by up to 6.5%, according to Coin... Desk data. XMR is currently traded with a market cap of $8.4 billion, surpassing ZEC's market cap of $7 billion.
Julian, founder of Ciphe.. rLabs, a Web3 security company, posted a comparison between ( and ) on X, writing: "This clearly explains everything. As a true privacy advocate, I would choose Monero. A coin backed by investment capital versus a privacy-focused digital currency with real demand."

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➢ @MorganStanley filed with regulators to launch two new ETFs , a Bitcoin Trust and a Solana Trust that could directly hold their respective tokens.
If approved, these ETFs would mark another significant milestone for institutional adoption of crypto.
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➢ @saylor's company MicroStrategy added 1,287 BTC to its treasury last week and boosted its cash reserves to about $2.25 billion, continuing its long term Bitcoin accumulation strategy.
The institutions keeps adopting.
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➢ The @yieldbasis protocol has launched a new impermanent loss‑free AMM design, now capturing over $400M in BTC DEX liquidity in its pools.
This effectively allows BTC holders to earn yield without suffering typical LP impermanent loss, offering returns from both fees and native emissions.
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𝐘𝐢𝐞𝐥𝐝 𝐅𝐚𝐫𝐦𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐏𝐨𝐨𝐥𝐬
➢ LsETH liquid staking pool
DApp : @liquid_col
Chain: Ethereum
APY: 2.52%(current)
➢ ezETH liquid restaking pool
DApp : @RenzoProtocol
Chain: Ethereum
APRY: 2.66%(current)
➢ USD0++ RWA yield pool
DApp: @usualmoney
Chain: Ethereum
APRY: 3.24%(current)
➢ HYDX–USDC liquidity pool
DApp: @HydrexFi
Chain: Base
APR: 123.38% (variable)
➢ USDC Vault
DApp : @YuzuMoneyX
Chain: Ethereum
APR: 5%(capped)
➢ pUSDC lending vault
DApp : @Morpho
Chain: Plume
APR: 8.13% (variable)
➢ USDC Lending pool
DApp : @SiloFinance
Chain: Avalanche
APR: 2.23% (variable)
➢ WMON–USDC
DApp : @PancakeSwap
Chain: Monad
APR: 83.91% (variable)
➢ syrupUSDT
DApp: @pendle_fi
Chain: Plasma
APR: 3.56% (variable)
➢ USDC Borrowing
DApp: @hyperlendx
Chain: Hyperliquid
APR: 2.59% (variable)
𝘞𝘩𝘪𝘤𝘩 𝘪𝘴 𝘺𝘰𝘶𝘳 𝘧𝘢𝘷𝘰𝘳𝘪𝘵𝘦 𝘱𝘰𝘰𝘭?

#BitcoinSix-DayRally
This is a hybrid move, combining a genuine institutional volatility squeeze with a classic "short squeeze."
While the price action feels explosive (characteristic of a squeeze), the underlying data suggests this is a recovery rally driven by real capital returning to the market after a period of fear.
Here is the breakdown of the move and an analysis of the "Buy vs. Wait" decision.
1. Diagnosis: Bull Market or Short Squeeze?
It is both, but the "Bull" case is the stronger driver right now.
The Short Squeeze Component (The Spark): You are correct to suspect a squeeze. Data from the last 48 hours shows over $200M in short positions were liquidated as Bitcoin reclaimed $90k. The "liquidation heatmaps" showed massive short clusters between $88k and $92k that were forcibly cleared, acting as rocket fuel for this move.
The Bull Market Component (The Fuel): A short squeeze burns out quickly without spot buying. This rally has "legs" because of ETF Inflows. We just saw the largest single-day inflow since October (approx. $697M on Jan 5th). This is not leverage; this is institutions buying the dip.
Sentiment Shift: The Fear & Greed Index has finally flipped from "Fear" to "Neutral" (around 42-49). This suggests the market is not yet "overheated" (Greed), leaving room for upside.
2. Technical Snapshot (Jan 6, 2026)
Current Price: ~$92,500 - $94,000 range.
Immediate Resistance: $94,500 - $95,000. This is the critical "line in the sand." Sellers are defending this heavily.
Immediate Support: $90,000 - $91,000. This was the previous resistance ceiling; it should now act as a floor.
Next Liquidation Target: There is a new cluster of short liquidity building between $96k and $98k. If $94.5k breaks, price will likely magnetize to those levels rapidly.
3. Verdict: Buy Now or Wait?
Buying exactly here ($93k-$94k) is risky because you are buying into resistance.
The "Wait" Strategy (Conservative):
Wait for a retest of $90,000 - $91,000.
Why? Breakouts often come back to "kiss" the level they just broke. If Bitcoin dips to $90.5k and holds, that is a much safer entry with a tighter stop-loss (e.g., below $88k).
The "Momentum" Strategy (Aggressive):
Wait for a confirmed 4-hour close above $94,500.
Why? Breaking $94.5k invalidates the bearish case and opens the path to the $98k liquidation zone. Buying now risks a rejection back to $88k.
The rally is real, supported by ETFs, but slightly over-extended on the 6-day streak. Best Play: Patience. Don't FOMO into the 6th green candle. Look for a bid around $90,500 on a pullback, or wait for the clean break of $94,500 to catch the next leg up.

As your strategic mentor, first of all, congratulations to the fans who are keeping up with Xiao Zhi's pace. You should have been well-fed during this period. Next, how to layout your strategy, please watch Xiao Zhi's notes carefully.
Your likes and follows are my motivation to keep updating.
#加密市场开年反弹 #ETH走势分析 $ETH ‌
Currently, ETH price is around 3230, at a very delicate "sentiment game point."
1. Deep logical analysis of ETH today (2026.01.06)
1. Structure and Dynamics
* Fake Breakout Risk: 3230-3250 is a key supply zone from previous periods. Although the current price touches this area, the RSI indicator on the 1-hour level shows a clear bearish divergence. This means the price is rising, but momentum is waning.
* Liquidation Map: A large number of short leverage liquidation points are concentrated around 3280. The market is very likely to launch a "final charge" upward to wipe out these shorts, then quickly fall back.
2. Macro Noise Filtering
* The market is digesting recent on-chain data outflows. Although long-term bullish, the short-term funding rate has overheated. This is usually a precursor to "longs killing longs."
2. Current price at 3230: Three No's Principle Audit
* No Against the Trend: The trend here is upward, but it has entered overbought territory. Never open a heavy long position here.
* No Holding the Position: If you open a long here, stop loss must be set at 3180. The space is too large, and the risk-reward ratio is poor.
* No Frequent Trading: If you didn't enter at 3170 just now, entering at 3230 now is a typical "emotional re-entry." Staying silent is the highest level of operation.
3. Today's Levels and Execution Strategies
We don't gamble on the market; we only wait for the market to fall into a trap.
Option A: Capture the "Pullback and Rebound" (Bullish Strategy)
* Logic: The market needs to drop to clear out leveraged longs chasing around 3200 before it can move freely.
* Observation Zone: 3150 - 3180.
* Trigger: When the price falls back to this area and shows a "stop decline signal" with decreasing volume on the 15-minute level.
* Stop Loss (Steel Red Line): 3110 (Break below invalidates the logic).
* Take Profit: 3350.
Option B: High-level Exhaustion "Fake Breakout" (Bearish Strategy)
* Logic: After the price breaks through 3280 to wipe out shorts, it quickly volume-drops and falls back below 3250.
* Trigger: When the price returns to 3230 - 3240, follow up.
* Stop Loss (Steel Red Line): 3285 (Never add against the trend, stop loss if breaking high).
* Take Profit: 3080.
Profit and loss are at your own risk; please refer to your own judgment.

#我的2026第一条帖 When Traditional Energy Giants Meet the Crypto Revolution: The Dual Narrative of Venezuela's Energy Reconstruction
Behind Trump's oil ambitions, a silent crypto revolution is rewriting the game rules
Recently, Trump's statements about encouraging U.S. companies to heavily enter Venezuela's energy sector have caused waves in global markets. Billions of dollars in infrastructure investments, technological support from top U.S. energy service companies, and expectations of a long-awaited revival of crude oil capacity—all point to a classic script of a traditional energy giant returning to the center stage. However, while international capital focuses on oil rigs and refineries, few notice that on this land plagued by hyperinflation, currency collapse, and comprehensive sanctions, a survival-driven crypto economic revolution has already permeated every capillary of the economy.
The overlooked truth: Venezuela is one of the countries with the highest crypto adoption rates globally
According to Chainalysis 2024 Global Crypto Adoption Index, Venezuela ranks 13th, with an annual growth rate of 110%. This is not just speculative bubble data but a survival choice in an extreme environment with 229% annual inflation and the local currency depreciating over 70%. From small family shops in Caracas to oil workers by Lake Maracaibo, USDT has replaced the bolivar as the de facto medium of exchange—by July 2025, only the private sector's stablecoin trading volume reached $119 million, accounting for 9% of the total remittances nationwide.
More notably, even Venezuela's state oil company, PDVSA, quietly expanded USDT usage in oil transactions in 2025 to circumvent U.S. sanctions. This ironic reality reveals a core contradiction: while Trump’s administration pushes traditional enterprises to rebuild energy infrastructure, sanctioned entities are already using crypto technology to bypass traditional financial channels. The event last year when Tether froze $5.2 million related to PDVSA exemplifies the fragility of centralized stablecoins in geopolitical games.
Crypto Genes in Energy Reconstruction: From Petro Failure to Energy Tokenization Rise
Venezuela's 2018 launch of the "Petro" (Oil-backed cryptocurrency) failed in 2023 due to lack of market trust, but the experiment left an important legacy—raising awareness among policymakers and the public about the potential of combining energy assets with digital technology. Now, as U.S. companies return to Venezuela with billions and advanced management systems, they face not just infrastructure projects but a business environment deeply embedded with crypto ecosystems.
This integration could spawn three new models:
1. "Dual Mining" of Energy Infrastructure
Drawing on the mature experience of U.S. miners like MARA Holdings, newly built natural gas power plants can support both Bitcoin mining and AI computing simultaneously. Venezuela’s abundant natural gas resources (a byproduct of oil extraction) have long been flared; converting it into electricity for mining can generate immediate cash flow and, through tokenization, package future electricity revenue into tradable crypto assets. The case of Cango acquiring a 50 MW plant in Georgia and expanding to 50 EH/s provides a replicable business blueprint for this model.
2. Tokenization of Oil Assets for Financing
Supported by a16z’s DayFi protocol, experiments are underway to tokenize distributed power assets, issuing GRID stablecoins and sGRID yield tokens. Similarly, U.S. energy companies could bypass traditional syndicate loans by putting future production shares of Venezuelan oil fields on-chain, issuing tokenized oil-backed tokens (Tokenized Oil-Backed Tokens) to raise funds directly from global crypto investors. This model reduces financing costs and automates profit distribution via smart contracts, while avoiding the fragile local judicial enforcement risks.
3. Stablecoin Settlement System for Cross-Border Payments
As companies like Chevron are permitted to resume some oil exports, instead of relying on potentially sanctioned banking channels, establishing on-chain settlement systems based on USDC or EURC makes sense. In 2023, $4.61 billion of Venezuela’s $5.4 billion in remittances were completed via crypto channels, demonstrating the maturity and efficiency of this system. Energy service companies can require local suppliers to accept stablecoin payments, building a closed-loop economy independent of traditional SWIFT.
Investment Logic Reconstructed: Geopolitical Risk Premium and Crypto Hedging Strategies
For international energy investors, the risk-return profile of Venezuela projects is fundamentally changing due to crypto factors.
Bullish catalysts:
• Inflation Hedge: USDT has become the local pricing benchmark; investment contracts can be denominated in stablecoins, eliminating bolivar devaluation risk
• Liquidity Premium: Energy tokenization provides secondary market liquidity for heavy assets, making exit strategies more flexible
• Technical Arbitrage: Local miners face higher costs due to unstable power and network disruptions; stable power grids built by U.S. companies can create price advantages
Bearish risks:
• Regulatory Uncertainty: Will the Trump administration allow U.S. companies to use crypto under sanctions? OFAC compliance could become extremely complex
• Sovereign Conflict: The Venezuelan government may demand access to local crypto payment systems, but PDVSA’s USDT usage has proven to carry frozen asset risks
• Infrastructure Paradox: Crypto economies depend on stable power and networks, which are precisely the core weaknesses needing reconstruction—creating a "chicken or egg" dilemma
Market Impact: New Paradigm Linkage Between Energy Stocks and Crypto Assets
After Trump’s statements, traditional energy service stocks rose accordingly, but the real alpha may lie in the energy-crypto crossover sector:
4. Dual Benefits for Bitcoin Mining Stocks: If U.S. companies build energy facilities and conduct mining in Venezuela, miners like MARA and RIOT with overseas experience could find cooperation opportunities, shifting valuation logic from pure BTC beta to an "Energy + Crypto" hybrid model
5. Infrastructure for Energy Tokenization: Oracle projects like Chainlink and underlying public chains like Ethereum could provide technical support for bringing oil assets on-chain, opening enterprise-level applications
6. Stablecoin Issuers: If Circle and Tether collaborate with energy projects to launch commodity-backed stablecoins, their reserve asset diversity could significantly increase, though stricter regulatory scrutiny is inevitable
It’s worth noting that despite recent warnings of a "2026 winter" in crypto markets (Cantor Fitzgerald view), the tokenization of real-world assets (RWA) is growing against the trend. The Venezuela case may become a litmus test for RWA from narrative to implementation.
Conclusion: The Convergence of Old Orders and New Revolutions
Trump’s oil ambitions and Venezuela’s crypto revolution fundamentally represent a clash of two development paradigms: top-down traditional capital export vs bottom-up distributed financial innovation. Historical experience shows that when both find a point of synergy rather than opposition, the greatest opportunities emerge—just as the U.S. shale revolution reshaped the global energy landscape.
For investors, the key question is no longer "whether to invest in Venezuela’s energy," but "how to design an investment structure that can access traditional energy cash flows while leveraging crypto to hedge sovereign risks." This requires multidisciplinary talent familiar with both well pressure parameters and smart contract coding, as well as policy courage to explore in regulatory gray areas.
Discussion Topic: Do you think traditional energy giants will embrace tokenized financing? If Chevron issues a crypto token backed by oil, would you invest? Share your views in the comments. If you find this analysis insightful, don’t forget to like and share—perhaps the next energy crypto unicorn will be born from these discussions.
(This article does not constitute investment advice. The cryptocurrency market carries high risks; please make decisions cautiously.)
Follow me for weekly in-depth analysis of how crypto economy is reshaping traditional industries and discover the next paradigm shift investment opportunities.
#加密行情预测 $BTC

#Ethereum stablecoin transfer volume surpasses $8T in Q4, hits new ATH

Big Shots Collective Preview: The crypto industry cycle is dead, and the future belongs to these three types of people!
Stop focusing on the four-year halving; this time, it’s truly different.
Recently, from Cathie Wood of Ark Invest to MicroStrategy’s Saylor, almost all top figures in the crypto circle have sent the same signal: the old wealth explosion script is completely over.
Their rare consensus reveals a brutal fact: the era of relying on retail investor sentiment and fixed-cycle hype to make money is ending at a visibly rapid pace. The new wealth game is built on entirely different rules.
1. The Old Rules Collapse: Why the “Four-Year Wealth Cycle” No Longer Works
1. Big Shots’ Collective “Exit” from Cycle Theory
· Cathie Wood of ARK Invest directly announced: the Bitcoin four-year cycle has ended. Her reason is simple—institutional tools like Bitcoin ETFs are transforming it from a casino chip into a “serious” risk asset similar to gold. This means that the previous volatility, which often halved or even cut by three, will be replaced by more moderate rises and falls.
· Evidence: Data shows Bitcoin’s actual volatility has fallen to a historic low. It’s no longer just that jumpy “monkey market” star.
2. True whales have entered
· Words are not enough; capital votes with its feet. Saylor of MicroStrategy not only hints at continued buying but also makes a shocking prediction: under institutional push, Bitcoin could reach $170,000 by 2026.
· Their company holds over 670,000 Bitcoins, and this is just the tip of the iceberg. Enterprises, national funds, and asset management giants are quietly consuming circulating Bitcoin. Supply is locked, selling pressure is easing, and the underlying logic of the game has changed.
2. Emergence of a New Order: The Three Iron Laws of Future Profit
After the cycle narrative fails, where will the money flow? The big players point to three irreversible trends:
1. Compliance is productivity
* Stop dreaming of “lawless zones.” Smart money is betting on “US crypto regulation turning friendly.” Clear rules are not shackles but a ticket to attract traditional trillions of capital. Next, “security tokens” that connect with traditional finance will explode.
2. On-chain eating traditional finance
* This is not just stablecoin payments. In the future, stocks, bonds, and private equity could all become tokens on the chain. 24/7 global trading will become the norm. This is not only an efficiency revolution but also a redistribution of wealth.
3. Tokens must have real value
* The route of issuing tokens based solely on whitepapers and stories is completely unviable. Future tokens must genuinely share in the protocol’s revenue and growth. Empty narratives will eventually fail; value binding is king.
3. New Wealth Tracks: These Three Fields Have Reached Consensus
Under the new rules, these directions are frequently mentioned by the big players:
1. Prediction Markets: Waiting for the World Cup to Ignite
* The 2026 World Cup could be the key battle for crypto to go mainstream. Prediction platforms like Polymarket will face the ultimate test of global traffic. This will be the “World Cup moment” for blockchain to prove its real-world utility.
2. AI Agents: Your Opponent Might Be a Robot
* One of the most disruptive trends: AI agents will come with wallets on-chain. Future traders, market makers, and even project teams might be a group of tireless AIs. This will create unprecedented new demands and infrastructure.
3. Privacy and Specific Assets
* As everything moves toward compliance and transparency, privacy needs will once again become hard currency. Some believe privacy coins might be the “last hundredfold opportunity.” Meanwhile, progress in integrating real-world assets on chains like Solana and Ethereum is also highly regarded.
4. Harsh Truth: Divergence, Risks, and Elimination Battles
Despite clear directions, there are huge disagreements among top figures about short-term trends. Market expectations are polarized, meaning “high volatility reshuffling” remains an inevitable process.
More importantly, professional investors’ mindsets have completely shifted:
· “Returning to fundamentals” has become core. Community hype and meme-driven speculation are greatly diminished.
· Everyone is starting to seriously scrutinize project revenues, data, and products.
· The professional threshold is rising sharply; retail investors relying solely on emotion and impulse will become targets for being harvested.
Conclusion: Are You Part of the New Era or Still Living in Old Shadows?
Summarizing the collective judgment of the top figures, 2026 will be a watershed:
· Market: shifting from “cyclical casino” to “structural bull market.”
· Logic: shifting from “hype narratives” to “practical value.”
· Players: shifting from “emotional retail” to “professional institutions.”
The bubble is being squeezed out, and value is being re-evaluated.
This new era will reward those who focus on building, embrace rules, and cultivate long-term value. At the same time, it will ruthlessly eliminate those still waiting for old cycle illusions and chasing short-term air.
The cycle is dead; order must be established. Are you ready? #Gate2025年度报告 #加密市场开年反弹 #我的2026第一条帖

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$ZKP Technical Analysis Report for $ZKP/USDT
SECTION 1: Technical Indicator Analysis (Technical Indicator Analysis)
Moving Averages (MA):
MA7 (Yellow line, value: 0.13097): Short-term moving average. The price is trading slightly above this MA, indicating a bullish short-term momentum.
MA25 (Purple line, value: 0.12984): Medium-term moving average. The price is trading above this MA. The crossover of MA7 above MA25, which apparently occurred recently, is a bullish signal indicating strengthening of the medium-term upward trend.
MA99 (Dark purple/blue line, value: 0.12795): Long-term moving average. The price is trading significantly above this MA. This confirms a strong long-term upward trend.
Overall interpretation: The price is above all three moving averages, decisively indicating an upward trend in the medium and long term, with MA7 acting as a potential short-term support.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
MACD line (Yellow, value: 0.00020): Above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum.
DIF (Dashed purple line, value: 0.00035) and DEA (Dashed red line, value: 0.00038): The MACD line is above the signal line (although DIF is slightly below DEA, the MACD value itself is positive), and the histogram is mainly positive (green bars), suggesting bullish momentum.
Histogram (Green/Red bars): The histogram is positive (green bars), confirming bullish momentum. However, recent trend shows a decrease in the height of histogram bars, which may indicate a potential slowdown of bullish momentum or a consolidation phase. A decline in the MACD line, if it crosses below DEA, will signal a bearish movement.
SECTION 2: Smart Trading Recommendations Based on Technical Analysis (Smart Trading Recommendations Based on Technical Analysis)
Based on the current technical analysis:
Bullish Scenario (Continuation of the Uptrend):
Entry point: If the price confidently breaks and holds above the current resistance zone at 0.13174, this could be a good entry point to continue the upward movement.
Stop-loss: Place a stop-loss below MA7 (around 0.13090) or, for a more conservative strategy, below MA25 (around 0.12980).
Profit target: The first target is the previous high at 0.13380. If it is broken, further upward movement can be expected.
Consolidation/Correction Scenario:
Entry point (Buy on pullback): If the price pulls back to the ascending trendline (around 0.12704) and above( or MA99 )0.12795( and shows signs of bounce )e.g., bullish candlestick patterns(, this could be a buying opportunity.
Stop-loss: Place a stop-loss slightly below the ascending trendline or MA99 to protect against further decline.
Profit target: Re-test the current resistance zone )0.13174( and possibly the previous high )0.13380(.
Risk management: Always use proper risk management and do not risk more than you can afford to lose. Carefully monitor trading volume.
SECTION 3: Key Price Level Analysis )Key Price Level Analysis(
Using OHLCV data from the chart, we identified the following key levels:
Key support levels:
Uptrend line )around 0.12704 and upward(: This is a critically important support level, as it represents a historical interest of buyers. The price previously bounced off this line, emphasizing its significance. Holding above this line is a bullish signal.
MA99 )0.12795(: The long-term moving average acts as a strong dynamic support level. Holding above it indicates a stable upward trend.
MA25 )0.12984(: Medium-term support, which may be tested during minor pullbacks.
Previous lows )around 0.12969 and 0.12704(: These price levels, where significant declines occurred, may again serve as support, as buying activity was observed at these levels in the past.
Important resistance levels:
Historical high )0.13380(: This is the absolute maximum price reached on the visible chart and represents a significant resistance, as this is where seller pressure historically outweighed buyer pressure.
Current price cluster )from 0.13040 to 0.13174(: This area appears to be the current resistance zone, as the price struggled to break through it during the last trading session. The indicative candle indicates market indecision in this range.
MA7 )0.13097(: Although usually a support, if the price drops below it, it may temporarily act as a short-term resistance.
SECTION 4: Comprehensive Summary & Action Plan )Comprehensive Summary & Action Plan(
$ZKP/USDT is currently in a medium and long-term uptrend, confirmed by the price being above all key moving averages and the presence of an upward trendline. The MACD indicator shows bullish momentum, but signs of potential slowdown or consolidation are observed.
The latest candle indicates market indecision, possibly in the resistance zone from 0.13040 to 0.13174. Traders should closely watch whether the price can confidently break this resistance or if a pullback to support levels occurs.
Recommended actions:
Watch for a breakout: Look for a confident breakout above 0.13174 with increased volume as a signal to continue the upward movement.
Seek confirmation of support: In case of a pullback, observe the price reaction at the upward trendline )around 0.12704( and MA99 )0.12795 for potential entry points.
Monitor MACD: Keep an eye on the MACD histogram and MACD/DEA lines. If MACD begins to confidently cross below DEA, it could be an early signal of slowing bullish momentum.
Consider volume: Confirm any price movements with corresponding volume changes. An increase in volume during a breakout is a strong bullish signal, while low volume may indicate a false breakout.
Market conditions: Always consider broader market conditions and news that could impact the $ZKP/USDT pair.

On January 4th, the whale address (0x7110) deposited approximately $5.5 million into Hyperliquid in the past 24 hours and opened long positions with low leverage. The current position size reaches $12.03 million. This action, along with news related to JUP buybacks, may indicate optimism for JUP's long-term rise.

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Today's Topic Recommendations:
🔹 BTC has once again broken above $90,000, while ETH has surged past $3,100 — does this signal the brewing of a new trend-driven market cycle?
🔹 Rotation among established altcoins and meme coins continues, with ENA, ADA, and SUI posting gains of over 10% in the past 24 hours
🔹 U.S. crypto-related stocks are broadly higher at the start of the year, with BMNR up 14.88% and NAKA gaining 16.26%
🔹 The Crypto Fear Index has rebounded to 29, indicating a further easing of market “fear” sentiment
🔹 Bitcoin miner Bitfarms has sold its Latin American operations for $30 million, continuing its strategic pivot toward AI and high-performance computing (HPC)
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🔗 Ethereum Sets New Record for Transactions
The Ethereum network has hit a historic high in daily transaction count: the seven-day moving average reached 1.87 million transactions, surpassing the figures from the 2021 NFT boom.
User activity has also surged: the number of active addresses increased to 728,000, and the daily growth of new addresses became the largest since 2018, indicating a return of real demand for network usage.
📊 Analysts attribute the growth to Ethereum upgrades that reduced fees and increased scalability, as well as to heightened institutional interest—including ETFs and real asset tokenization projects.
$ETH ‌$LDO ‌$ZK ‌

🎄❄️🎁🏙️💸 I want to share some useful information about the current P2P activity from Gate, as not everyone may have noticed it or has heard about it earlier. At the same time, this event can be beneficial for those planning P2P transactions in the near future and want to combine activity with the opportunity to earn additional rewards.
Gate P2P announces the winter campaign "Winter Holidays: Double Carnival" with a total prize fund of $28 888. The activity period is from December 18, 2025, 14:00 to January 19, 2026, 14:00 (Kyiv time).
Within the event, two reward formats are available:
1. Basic prize fund — participation is possible after completing standard P2P tasks. Each completed action provides additional chances in the draw; higher activity increases the likelihood of receiving rewards.
2. Extended prize fund — automatic participation for users with a total net deposit via P2P exceeding 10,000 USDT during the campaign period.
Additionally, a special reward is provided: the top 5 users by P2P deposit volume during the activity period will receive an individual merch-box surprise from Gate. If physical delivery is not possible, the company reserves the right to provide an equivalent in USDT.
Please note the key participation conditions: only buy orders on P2P are considered, participation is possible after registering for the campaign, and KYC verification is mandatory. Rewards are credited after risk checks. Users from restricted regions, as well as those found to be involved in (abuse, multi-accounting, fake volume), are not allowed to participate or receive rewards.
The official announcement is available via the link on the Gate website. I recommend reviewing the terms in advance if you plan to engage in P2P transactions during the specified period.
🔗 Official announcement link: https://www.gate.com/announcements/article/48790
#GateSquare
#P2P
$BTC ‌$GT ‌

Dear Square users, the New Year is about to begin. We hope you can leave your exclusive mark on Gate Square, and let the first words of 2026 stay on Gate Square! Share your #我的2026第一帖，记录对 2026 first sentence of anticipation, wishes, or plans, and join Web3 users worldwide to welcome a brand new journey, create your own annual opening chapter, and unlock exclusive New Year benefits worth $10,000!
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