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Elon Musk says the new Grok model will be released this year, with only a 23% probability of release within the year.
BlockBeats News, December 15 — According to PolyBeats, Elon Musk posted on December 7 stating that Grok 4.20 would be released within 3 to 4 weeks, and then on the 10th, he confirmed again that Grok 4.20 would be released within three weeks, sparking market discussions about the exact release date of Grok 4.20 and the establishment of a series of betting pools asking, "Will Grok 4.20 be released before X month X day?" Based on Musk's tweets, Grok 4.20 is expected to be released before December 31, but currently, the probability of release before December 31 is only 23%. Considering that the Christmas and New Year holidays may cause delays in the engineering team's work, the market generally believes that the likelihood of release before the end of the year is low. Currently, the probabilities for the other three date points are: 1