XRP’s ongoing pullback is sparking discussions about “history repeating itself” in the market. Several technical analysts point out that the current pattern closely resembles the ABC correction structure in the 2021 cycle, which may provide important clues about when this round of decline will end.
Looking back at the trend, XRP fell about 35% in Q4 2025, then briefly rebounded in early 2026, quickly rising from $1.84 in early January to a high of $2.41, but was soon met with strong resistance and pulled back. Since that high, the price has retraced approximately 41%, currently hovering around $1.42, hitting a new low since November 2024. The decline has entered its fifth month, and market sentiment is becoming more cautious.
On the technical side, analyst Charting Guy notes that XRP has been trading above a long-term upward trendline since 2020, which has provided dynamic support during deep corrections multiple times. The current price is approaching this zone, where the trendline overlaps with the $1.05 to $1.1 range. He believes XRP may further decline and test around $1.2 before March 2026, forming a phase bottom.
This judgment is also supported by historical comparison. In 2021, after a high, XRP experienced several months of decline, eventually stabilizing near the key trendline at the end of wave C, and began a slow recovery cycle. The current price structure and timing are quite similar to that period, suggesting this correction may be nearing its end.
It’s important to note that if XRP drops to $1.2, it would fall about 16% from the current price, increasing the year-to-date decline to over 34%. However, if the bulls manage to hold the long-term trendline, the market could see a technical rebound. For investors, this price level is becoming an important window to observe for a trend reversal.
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to
Disclaimer.
Related Articles
XRP Price Near $1.45 as ETF Inflows Build Pressure
Key Insights
Institutional XRP ETF inflows reached $41.6 million over four days, lifting assets under management above $1.08 billion and strengthening market confidence.
XRP faces strong resistance near $1.45, where CoinGlass data highlights a short max
CryptoNewsLand1h ago
XRP Expands to Solana as wXRP Drives DeFi Access
Key Insights
Wrapped XRP on Solana surpasses 834,000 tokens, enabling new DeFi access while strengthening cross-chain liquidity and expanding XRP utility beyond its native ledger.
Ethereum and Solana dominate DeFi activity, while XRP Ledger trails significantly, driving the need for
CryptoNewsLand1h ago
XRP Expands to Solana as wXRP Drives DeFi Access
Key Insights
Wrapped XRP on Solana surpasses 834,000 tokens, enabling new DeFi access while strengthening cross-chain liquidity and expanding XRP utility beyond its native ledger.
Ethereum and Solana dominate DeFi activity, while XRP Ledger trails significantly, driving the need for
CryptoNewsLand1h ago
Arthur Hayes: I'll Believe in XRP's Use at Scale When I See On-Chain Evidence
Arthur Hayes calls for on-chain evidence of XRP at scale; Iran tolls on oil tankers reportedly paid in Bitcoin to bypass sanctions, with pre-cleared shipments. Jim Rickards cites Ripple as part of a broader crypto-led parallel financial system.
Abstract: The article compares Hayes's demand for XRP's real-world on-chain use with reports of Bitcoin toll payments by Iran and notes Rickards' view that Ripple could play a role in a broader crypto-driven parallel financial system.
GateNews3h ago
Crypto Investor Predicts Bitcoin ATH at $140,000 and XRP ATH at $7 in May
Crypto investor predicts Bitcoin ATH at $140,000.
Similarly, the expert expects an XRP ATH at $7.
Both these new ATH targets for BTC and XRP are expected to arrive in May.
The prices of Bitcoin and Ethereum seem to be trading at a bullish trajectory, having just broken past major
CryptoNewsLand5h ago
Altcoins Surge Back Above $1.3T as Markets Rally After Greenland Crisis Resolution
On January 22, altcoins rebounded nearly 10% to $1.39 trillion due to eased global tensions, with Ethereum leading gains. Despite some volatility, the combined market cap stabilized at $1.32 trillion as other altcoins also showed modest recovery.
Coinpedia7h ago
